Canadian Election 2019

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Angus Reed

Consv: 37%
Lib: 28%
NDP: 17%
Green 8%
BQ: 5%
PPC: 4%



http://angusreid.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/2019.03.26-federal-release.pdf

Poll consists of a lot of sub regional break downs. (ie Rural Sask)

Conservatives leading outside of Montreal (in a 4-way race)

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The Leger Poll has the NDP at 12% and the Green at 11%

Regionally in Quebec the NDP are in 5th place (6%), behind Liberal (31%), Conservative (23%), BQ (23%) and Greens (9%), and only 2% ahead both the People's Party and Other.

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Wilson-Raybould to run as an Independent

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Polling Data for the Federal Election in Manitoba

MB (2015 Results in Brackets)
Consv.  43% (35%)
Liberal 24% (45%)
NDP 17% (14%)
Green 13% (3%)

Winnipeg
Consv: 35% (29%)
Liberal 29% (53%)
NDP 20% (14%)
Green 13% (3%)


Outside Winnipeg
Consv 56% (48%)
Liberal 15% (33%)
NDP 11% (13%)
Greens 13% (4%)




https://media.winnipegfreepress.com/documents/190621June+2019MBOmniFedPartyStandings.pdf

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Mainstreet has the NDP in third in Stratchona and the Conservatives retaking Edmonton-Mill Woods.  Will there be any non-Conservative seats in AB/SK after this election?

Ralph Goodale should be safe in Regina-Wascana

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When will voting end in the Atlantic Provinces? 7pm EST?

7 PM est is for Newfoundland and Labrador only the rest of the Atlantic provinces close at 7:30 PM est.

In addition the riding of Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine in Quebec follows Atlantic Time and polls will close at 8:30 PM (Atlantic Time)

Polls close at 9:30 pm (Eastern)  in the Mountain, Central (as Well as Saskatchewan) and Eastern Time Zones
and 10:00 pm in the Pacific Time Zones.

https://www.elections.ca/content2.aspx?section=faq&dir=votinghours&document=index&lang=e

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Dang!
The Final Star Wars Trailer will be airing during Monday Night Football.
It will be airing during half-time, which makes it  right after the 9:30 pm (ET) poll closing.

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Wow! Conservatives at 71%! (After 1 Poll)

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Just paper ballots, there some polls with a handful of voters, and hence they can be counted quickly.
The larger polls with 400+ voters can take up to an hour to count

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Election Results: This link (a text file) will give all results on a single page.


http://enr.elections.ca/DownloadResults.aspx

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Liberals and Green tied in Central Nova, however 'Seat' is given to Liberal

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It's 8:30 pm (EST) and the riding of Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine (Quebec Riding in the Eastern / Atlantic Time Zone) should be reporting soon

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Maxime Bernier, PPC trailing by the Conservative candidate by 1,600 votes (Rhino Maxime only 400 votes)

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Maxime has lost in his riding.
The PPC candidate in Charleswood (former Conservative Candidate has only 4% of the vote)

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I see:
 6,197 NDP
 5,356 Liberal
and 761 for Greens
in Winnipeg Centre

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I see:
 6,197 NDP
 5,356 Liberal
and 761 for Greens
in Winnipeg Centre

What site are you using?

Elections Canada Results Page

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Election Canada Resuts:

Right Click to 'Save As',
Results can be imported as a Excel Spreadsheet


http://enr.elections.ca/DownloadResults.aspx

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Voter Turnout should is currently protected to be around 63%

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Turnout is approaching 65%

Actual turnout is 60.71% with 94.42% of the polls

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Steven Fletcher (former Conservative cabinet minister) received only 4.3% of the vote in Charleswood - St James. This was one of the ridings that PPC targeted to get into the leaders debate.

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Best riding by Party
(Sorry about some of the French names)


BQ
Joliette   58.6
Montcalm   58.2
Bécancour--Nicolet--Saurel   56.8
Manicouagan   54.2
Repentigny   53.4
Rivière-du-Nord   52.3

Conservative:

Battle River--Crowfoot   85.4
Souris--Moose Mountain   84.4
Grande Prairie--Mackenzie   84.4
Lakeland   84.2
Bow River   83.9
Foothills   82.3
Yellowhead   82.1
Cypress Hills--Grasslands   81.2
Peace River--Westlock   80.7
Red Deer--Mountain View   80.1
Red Deer--Lacombe   79.8
Fort McMurray--Cold Lake   79.2
Medicine Hat--Cardston--Warner   79.1
Battlefords--Lloydminster   79
Carlton Trail--Eagle Creek   78.8
Sturgeon River--Parkland   77.5
Yorkton--Melville   76.5
Calgary Shepard   75.2
Calgary Midnapore   74.3
Sherwood Park--Fort Saskatchewan   73.5
Edmonton--Wetaskiwin   72.1
Moose Jaw--Lake Centre--Lanigan   71.3
Portage--Lisgar   71
Banff--Airdrie   71
Calgary Heritage   70.8
Calgary Signal Hill   70.4

Green:
Saanich--Gulf Islands   48.8
Nanaimo--Ladysmith   34.4
Fredericton   33.2
Victoria   28.9
Malpeque   26.5
Beauséjour   26.5
Kitchener Centre   25.8
Esquimalt--Saanich--Sooke   25.4
Guelph   25

Indepenent
Vancouver Granville   32.2
Markham--Stouffville   20.8
Sydney--Victoria   13.9

Liberal
Scarborough--Rouge Park   62.3
Scarborough--Guildwood   61.7
Etobicoke North   61.3
Humber River--Black Creek   61.3
Saint-Léonard--Saint-Michel   61.2

NDP
Vancouver East   52.2
Churchill--Keewatinook Aski   50.2
Vancouver Kingsway   48.8
Edmonton Strathcona   47.3
St. John's East   47.1
Hamilton Centre   46.5
Elmwood--Transcona   45.7

PPC
Beauce   28.4
Nipissing--Timiskaming   5.3
Charleswood--St. James--Assiniboia--Headingley   4.3

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CBC Manitoba got the polling results for Manitoba

It will be a while (could be within a few weeks) before Election Canada releases them to the public.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/poll-map-federal-election-manitoba-1.5446528

The good news is the Elections Canada has posted the Polling Shapefiles (along with advance polling boundaries)  on the GeoGratis Website.
There is also a KMZ that can be used with Google Earth.


http://ftp.geogratis.gc.ca/pub/elections_elections/Electoral-districts_Circonscription-electorale/Elections_Canada_2019/