Canadian Election 2019

[TWTown]

Blanchet wins Beloeil-Chambly (his own riding)

[LimoLiberal]

Wow the Ontario results are boring. Only 7 ridings being won by the non-incumbent party.

[TWTown]

Blanchet wins Beloeil-Chambly (his own riding)

On top of this, Beloeil-Chambly was held previously by Matthew Dube who has now lost his seat. Another loss that can be credited to Singh.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Could the Tories actually win the popular vote

[Cinemark]

Global News now says to close to call!!

They have a tweet from 15 minutes ago projecting a Liberal minority government.

[Storr]

Where did it all go wrong for the NDP?

So far much of their losses have been in Quebec, where they nearly wiped out the BQ in 2015. It seems they didn't satisfy those voters in the following years.

[Tintrlvr]

Where did it all go wrong for the NDP?

They were supposed to do badly their late surge just raised hopes that they would not get crushed.

I mean, we were seriously bandying about the possibility of the NDP winning zero seats at one point, so this result is a significant improvement over what it looked like they were headed for over the summer.

[DistingFlyer]

Very surprised to see the Milton figures; maybe they're unrepresentative but I would never have pegged the Liberals to pick up this one.

The solid Liberal shield in the GTA remains fairly strong; looks like the Ford fallout was strong there. Hopefully things turn around in Milton - that will be very disappointing if things continue as is there.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Where did it all go wrong for the NDP?

They were supposed to do badly their late surge just raised hopes that they would not get crushed.

I mean, we were seriously bandying about the possibility of the NDP winning zero seats at one point, so this result is a significant improvement over what it looked like they were headed for over the summer.

Well they held most of their seats outside of Quebec. BQ gaining obviously hurt them a lot there.

[super6646]

Cons aren't doing bad in Ontario either. PV within 3 pts, but the seats just aren't being won. If Singh didn't blow chunks, it could've been close.

[LabourJersey]

Could the Tories actually win the popular vote

Most likely not, given the trends we're seeing in the results

[trebor204]

Maxime Bernier, PPC trailing by the Conservative candidate by 1,600 votes (Rhino Maxime only 400 votes)

[Crumpets]

Is Mumilaaq Qaqqaq the first person to ever win election with five Qs in their name? Also, dang, she's the same age I am. What am I doing with my life?

Edit: Looks like she hasn't actually been declared winner yet, she's just in the lead.

[politicallefty]

Lib+NDP>170 for the first time tonight.

[TWTown]

Manly and May are both leading in their respective seats. We could very likely have a scenario where the Greens win anywhere from 3-5 seats.

[trebor204]

Maxime has lost in his riding.
The PPC candidate in Charleswood (former Conservative Candidate has only 4% of the vote)

[Storr]

Maxime Bernier loses his own seat. PPC only has 1.6% overall. lol

[BlueDogDemocrat]

When will the leaders of the parties make their speeches?

[TWTown]

Conservatives are now within reach of snagging the PV lead from the Liberals.

[TWTown]

Fredricton called for the Greens. A very good showing by Letwin.

[TWTown]

Conservatives have now taken the lead in the popular vote, they lead by around 4,000 votes.

[DistingFlyer]

Wascana looks bad for Ralph Goodale; definitely not good for the Grits out West if he goes, though being right next door to the Tory leader probably didn't help him any either.

His behavior in the lead-up to the campaign was rather vicious for him, and I think a sign of just how far the Liberals have turned into a Trudeau cult, much like the Trump cult down South: deny, downplay or excuse anything your leader does, and always turn it into a nasty (and usually dishonest) attack on the opposition. The sooner both nations are rid of their two loathsome leaders, the better, though obviously it won't start happening tonight.

Also, the Tories have finally surpassed the Liberals in vote share (they've been gaining slowly for a while). If the Tories get more votes but lose the election, it will be the first time that's happened since the 1920s.

[Holmes]

I hope Trudeau tries to be less SJW over the next few years. I think that has what hurt him so much these past few years just focus on bread and butter issues.

No. What hurt him were his scandals, broken promises, rise of the BQ, and reversion to the mean in some areas after his 2015 landslide.

I have to feel like the 'peoplekind' stuff got really grating to a lot of voters along with the constant apologies. The scandals certainly mattered but I feel like most people are turned off by overly SJW pols.

There's really no evidence to what you're saying.

SNC-Lavalin and black face scandals saw his numbers drop.
Rise of the Bloc, we're seeing that happen right now in real time.
Reversion to the mean, we saw that in the Atlantic, Manitoba, Alberta and BC with Conservatives winning back seats the Liberals took from them in 2015.

The only subjective thing I said was the broken promises. But honestly Trudeau saying a stupid thing like peoplekind didn't sway any votes, I'm certain of that.

[jaichind]

CPC vote share just overtook LPC.  Might not last.  But polls were very accurate.  Given the BC vote shares I suspect CPC seat count there will grow.

[Pericles]

Lol that'd be something for a strong Liberal win in seats with a CPC PV win. Sad for democracy but would be nice irony, and payback for the 2016 US election in a way.