Canadian Election 2019
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Author Topic: Canadian Election 2019  (Read 191721 times)
Tintrlvr
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1600 on: October 21, 2019, 08:58:19 PM »

Looks like a definite Liberal seat lead, probably sizable, over the Tories at this point, and therefore a Liberal government. Only question is majority vs. minority. The Bloc is doing well enough in Quebec that I expect the Liberals to miss a majority, but hard to be certain just yet.
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Matty
boshembechle
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« Reply #1601 on: October 21, 2019, 08:58:41 PM »

This is a total disaster for cons so far

Arguably worse than 2015 when adjusted for expectations

My god!
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soundchaser
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« Reply #1602 on: October 21, 2019, 08:59:09 PM »

At this rate, I wouldn't be surprised if the Libs win an outright majority, especially with some of those BQ leads being so tenuous.
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super6646
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« Reply #1603 on: October 21, 2019, 08:59:30 PM »

Cons blowing chunks. Bye bye scheer.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #1604 on: October 21, 2019, 08:59:54 PM »

I'm assuming this ends up minority Liberal.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #1605 on: October 21, 2019, 08:59:59 PM »

Daddy Trudeau knows how to win.
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Cinemark
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« Reply #1606 on: October 21, 2019, 09:00:38 PM »

I wonder how off the polling is gonna be.
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Pls Delete
Moonlord
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« Reply #1607 on: October 21, 2019, 09:00:51 PM »

Minority Liberal it looks like
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #1608 on: October 21, 2019, 09:01:28 PM »

The polls in BC & Yukon are now closed.
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politicallefty
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« Reply #1609 on: October 21, 2019, 09:01:46 PM »

I definitely don't think you can rule out a Liberal Majority. They're holding up quite well in Quebec at the moment. The NDP numbers are hideous.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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« Reply #1610 on: October 21, 2019, 09:02:06 PM »

CBC has Liberals winning or ahead in 100 seats.
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DistingFlyer
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« Reply #1611 on: October 21, 2019, 09:02:10 PM »

Liberals doing surprisingly well in Quebec so far, and the Tories a little worse than expected - though obviously things are still very early. Difficult to tell at this point just how well the Bloc will do; though I've got no love for the Grits right now, anything they manage to prevent the Dixiecrats of the north from taking will be fine by me.

Apart from the north, not much movement in Ontario.

Looking more and more like 2004, with the Liberals pulling things out by the short hairs but probably not by enough to keep an outright majority.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #1612 on: October 21, 2019, 09:02:26 PM »

Looks like the Canadian Parliament version of Obama 2012.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #1613 on: October 21, 2019, 09:02:42 PM »

Liberal majority is not out of the cards...
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Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸
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« Reply #1614 on: October 21, 2019, 09:02:48 PM »

Pathetic night for the cons
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Walmart_shopper
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« Reply #1615 on: October 21, 2019, 09:03:08 PM »

I also think the Liberals are being significantly underestimated. My prediction:

Liberal 170 seats
Conservative 113 seats
BQ 32 seats
NDP 21 seats
Green 2 seats

I think I actually was oversold on the Tories, somehow.
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The Free North
CTRattlesnake
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« Reply #1616 on: October 21, 2019, 09:03:24 PM »

How poor is the NDP performance tonight or was this in line with what was expected?
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1617 on: October 21, 2019, 09:04:13 PM »

LIB back up in Sydney-Victoria by 33 votes, with 167/196 polls reporting. If you like insanely close races, here's your seat.

And after being down for two hours, the Tories slowly crawled back a lead in Cumberland-Colcester.
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Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸
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« Reply #1618 on: October 21, 2019, 09:04:26 PM »

Watching the CBC Election night livestream.


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ηєω ƒяσηтιєя
New Frontier
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« Reply #1619 on: October 21, 2019, 09:05:13 PM »

Not looking good for the Cons.
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Walmart_shopper
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« Reply #1620 on: October 21, 2019, 09:05:25 PM »

How poor is the NDP performance tonight or was this in line with what was expected?

I mean, if you bought into edgelord Atlas Jagmeet hype, this is devastating. But mostly their losses were to ve expected.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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« Reply #1621 on: October 21, 2019, 09:05:31 PM »

Can I just complain as an American that Canadian ridings aren't subject to the contiguity restrictions congressional districtions are, and yet they are still less gerrymandered? Didn't even realize there are a couple of non-contiguous ridings until tonight.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1622 on: October 21, 2019, 09:06:28 PM »

The reports of a Liberal majority seem to be greatly exaggerated - that first wave of polls was very good for the Libs in Quebec, but now the map is nearly all blue. Certainly not good for the Cons, but Lib minority seems more likely.
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super6646
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« Reply #1623 on: October 21, 2019, 09:06:52 PM »

Scheer is done. Very disappointing result.
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Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸
Thunder98
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« Reply #1624 on: October 21, 2019, 09:07:46 PM »

The Libs need 48 seats left to get the majority.
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