Canadian Election 2019
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Author Topic: Canadian Election 2019  (Read 190755 times)
Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1500 on: October 21, 2019, 06:45:51 PM »

Tories win the first poll in Mirmichi-grand Lake by 3 votes, the first poll in Fundy Royal, and the second poll in Egmont. Libs on the  board in Central Nova, Sydney Victoria, and Saint John Rothesay.
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trebor204
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« Reply #1501 on: October 21, 2019, 06:49:25 PM »

Liberals and Green tied in Central Nova, however 'Seat' is given to Liberal
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LabourJersey
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« Reply #1502 on: October 21, 2019, 06:55:25 PM »

Liberals and Green tied in Central Nova, however 'Seat' is given to Liberal


There's only 4 polls out of 230 out, so they're defaulting to the incumbent party
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1503 on: October 21, 2019, 06:55:38 PM »


Interesting .....
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jaichind
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« Reply #1504 on: October 21, 2019, 06:56:41 PM »

CPC ahead in 8 seats already
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1505 on: October 21, 2019, 06:57:33 PM »
« Edited: October 21, 2019, 07:01:57 PM by Oryxslayer »

First results from mainland Atlantic looking really good for the Conservatives if they hold. But the lead are tiny and the Early vote may be biased. Plus no pre-election vote. Cape Breton Blue bump though?
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DistingFlyer
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« Reply #1506 on: October 21, 2019, 06:57:45 PM »

Looks like the value of individual candidates' popularity may not have been extinguished in NS after all - the two Cape Breton ridings have the Tories competitive at the moment (both seats are being contested by longtime provincial MLAs). Not saying that they'll necessarily win, as they'd have to overcome long-held Liberal traditions (at the federal level, anyway) in those ridings, but they're not getting blasted out of the ballot box either.

Nothing yet from West Nova, but given that that seat is also being contested by a long-serving provincial Tory, I think that one may flip. We shall see soon enough . . .
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1507 on: October 21, 2019, 06:58:58 PM »

I’m no Canadian election expert, but it’s probably a good thing for the Conservatives if they’re already leading in 8 ridings in a region where they won none in 2015.
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jaichind
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« Reply #1508 on: October 21, 2019, 07:00:01 PM »

Im no Canadian election expert, but it’s probably a good thing for the Conservatives if they’re already leading in 8 ridings in a region where they won none in 2015.

Even if it holds a lot of it is reversion to the mean.  The real test will be ON
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Holmes
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« Reply #1509 on: October 21, 2019, 07:00:35 PM »

Im no Canadian election expert, but it’s probably a good thing for the Conservatives if they’re already leading in 8 ridings in a region where they won none in 2015.

Well it was raining in NB today.
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LabourJersey
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« Reply #1510 on: October 21, 2019, 07:02:53 PM »

I’m no Canadian election expert, but it’s probably a good thing for the Conservatives if they’re already leading in 8 ridings in a region where they won none in 2015.

There's only a few hundred votes counted in each riding. Let's wait a little before we jump to any conclusions
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vileplume
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« Reply #1511 on: October 21, 2019, 07:03:45 PM »

Im no Canadian election expert, but it’s probably a good thing for the Conservatives if they’re already leading in 8 ridings in a region where they won none in 2015.

Well it was raining in NB today.

Are left wing voters allergic to water? Wink
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #1512 on: October 21, 2019, 07:04:53 PM »

Im no Canadian election expert, but it’s probably a good thing for the Conservatives if they’re already leading in 8 ridings in a region where they won none in 2015.

Well it was raining in NB today.

Are left wing voters allergic to water? Wink

Yes. Yes, we are.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1513 on: October 21, 2019, 07:06:40 PM »

Cons leading NDP in Acadie-Bathurst (behind the  Libs OFC) ...I thought the NDP had a star candidate here?
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vileplume
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« Reply #1514 on: October 21, 2019, 07:08:18 PM »

Im no Canadian election expert, but it’s probably a good thing for the Conservatives if they’re already leading in 8 ridings in a region where they won none in 2015.

Well it was raining in NB today.

Are left wing voters allergic to water? Wink

Yes. Yes, we are.

Hmm explains the smell... Wink Cheesy
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jaichind
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« Reply #1515 on: October 21, 2019, 07:21:59 PM »

GPC seems to be under-performing in the Atlantic provinces
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #1516 on: October 21, 2019, 07:22:33 PM »

Called races are 8 Liberal holds, and one (St. John's East) Liberal -> NDP pickup.
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super6646
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« Reply #1517 on: October 21, 2019, 07:26:12 PM »

Canyon disappointing result.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1518 on: October 21, 2019, 07:30:38 PM »

First Lib -> Con pickup: Tobique-Mactaquac in NB.
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trebor204
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« Reply #1519 on: October 21, 2019, 07:33:55 PM »

It's 8:30 pm (EST) and the riding of Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine (Quebec Riding in the Eastern / Atlantic Time Zone) should be reporting soon
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1520 on: October 21, 2019, 07:39:52 PM »

Acadie-Bathurst called for Libs, so much about the  hype there. Three flips so far: St. johns East, Tobique-Mactaquac, and NB Southwest.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1521 on: October 21, 2019, 07:41:28 PM »

I think the Libs will come back in Sydney-Victoria. Conservatives have 4 pickups at least in NB. I'm interested to see what happens in Fredericton, interesting three-way race there between the Green, Libs, and Cons. Right now I think a 26-5-1-1 Lib-Con-Green-NDP split is likeliest.
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Cinemark
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« Reply #1522 on: October 21, 2019, 07:42:20 PM »

Acadie-Bathurst called for Libs, so much about the  hype there. Three flips so far: St. johns East, Tobique-Mactaquac, and NB Southwest.

Anyone want to make some bad nationwide predictions based off these first results?
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Canis
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« Reply #1523 on: October 21, 2019, 07:44:10 PM »

Acadie-Bathurst called for Libs, so much about the  hype there. Three flips so far: St. johns East, Tobique-Mactaquac, and NB Southwest.

Anyone want to make some bad nationwide predictions based off these first results?
Jagmeets might shall rise in the West
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Storr
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« Reply #1524 on: October 21, 2019, 07:45:08 PM »

Acadie-Bathurst called for Libs, so much about the  hype there. Three flips so far: St. johns East, Tobique-Mactaquac, and NB Southwest.

Anyone want to make some bad nationwide predictions based off these first results?

Since St. John's East flipped to NDP, and the latter two to the Tories: Libs in disarray!!
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