Canadian Election 2019 (user search)
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Author Topic: Canadian Election 2019  (Read 189169 times)
DistingFlyer
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 650
Canada


Political Matrix
E: 0.25, S: -1.74

« Reply #75 on: November 09, 2019, 01:29:02 PM »

Here's a map showing the swings in each constituency:



[One note of explanation: in instances where the top two parties didn't remain the same from 2015 to 2019, I based it off of the top two parties in 2019 (for instance, a riding that went from Tory vs. Liberal to Tory vs. NDP has the Tory-NDP swing shown; one reason why some Prairie swings are a little smaller than you might expect). The only exception was if a party went from first to third - then it became a swing between 2015's winner & 2019's winner (one reason why some Bloc swings are so large, as they're NDP-to-Bloc swings in many previously-NDP ridings where the NDP plunged to third or fourth place this time).]
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DistingFlyer
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 650
Canada


Political Matrix
E: 0.25, S: -1.74

« Reply #76 on: November 09, 2019, 11:21:12 PM »
« Edited: November 09, 2019, 11:50:52 PM by DistingFlyer »

I'd spoken some time ago about the high re-election rate of Ministers this time around - the highest for a government that lost seats overall since 1953 - so here is a table illustrating how well Ministries did at each election since 1867.

There have been five instances where a sitting Prime Minister was personally defeated: 1921 (Arthur Meighen in Portage la Prairie), 1925 (Mackenzie King in York North), 1926 (Arthur Meighen in Portage la Prairie), 1945 (Mackenzie King in Prince Albert) and 1993 (Kim Campbell in Vancouver Centre).



(You'll see in the notes column that some people contested more than one constituency in an election; they only get counted once in the won/lost columns. If a person won one and lost one, then they're counted in the 'won' column.)
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DistingFlyer
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 650
Canada


Political Matrix
E: 0.25, S: -1.74

« Reply #77 on: February 18, 2020, 05:29:07 PM »

UK politics fans often ask the question, "What if Jim Callaghan had held an election in October 1978?" In his own way, our Prime Minister is answering that at present.
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