OR-Hoffman: Brown +3 (user search)
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  OR-Hoffman: Brown +3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: OR-Hoffman: Brown +3  (Read 2291 times)
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 44,757


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

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« on: October 31, 2018, 05:12:20 PM »

https://hoffmanresearchgroup.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/PRESS-RELEASE-OR-Gov-Poll-10-30-18.pdf


Brown 45%
Buehler 42%

Previous Poll had Brown up 10
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,757


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2018, 05:18:58 PM »

The Oregonian which is a very liberal paper endorsed Buehler


Also If the GOP loses this race, it will be the fault of the national GOP for spending more resources in CA than OR
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,757


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2018, 05:25:23 PM »

The Oregonian which is a very liberal paper endorsed Buehler


Also If the GOP loses this race, it will be the fault of the national GOP for spending more resources in CA than OR

Even if Republicans had invested more resources in Oregon, Buehler would still lose. This year is just not the right environment for him to win, particularly since Oregon is a Democratic state.

Well if race is within 3 points then yes they would have won.

Also KGW, KATU, KOIN (our local news stations) all say the race is super close and could go either way and so do all the state wide experts
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,757


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2018, 05:32:43 PM »

Buehler probably would have easily won in 2010

Sadly we nominated Dudley instead who’s claim to fame is getting dunked on by Shaq
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,757


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2018, 05:33:55 PM »

The Oregonian which is a very liberal paper endorsed Buehler


Also If the GOP loses this race, it will be the fault of the national GOP for spending more resources in CA than OR

President Hillary Clinton agrees that newspaper endorsements win elections.

Hillary also had super high unfavorables


In this case Buheler is viewed as a net favorable while Brown is viewed as net unfavorable
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,757


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2018, 05:38:06 PM »



How is a race which has almost every poll within 5 points viewed as Safe or even likely lol
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,757


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #6 on: October 31, 2018, 05:43:34 PM »



How is a race which has almost every poll within 5 points viewed as Safe or even likely lol

Fundamentals matter. If this is flipping, Dems are having single digit gains in the House, losing at least 5 Senate seats, and doing really badly in governorships.

Not nearly as much for a gubernatorial race as a senate or house race and one fundemental your leaving out is Brown is unpopular
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