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  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  Fox Polls: AZ: Tie ; IN: Donnelly +7; MO: Tie; TN: Blackburn +9; ND: Cramer +9 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Fox Polls: AZ: Tie ; IN: Donnelly +7; MO: Tie; TN: Blackburn +9; ND: Cramer +9  (Read 4124 times)
I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,961
United States
Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: -4.70

P
« on: October 31, 2018, 05:12:32 pm »

all those Republicans will overperform. McSally will win by around +4, Braun will probably win by at least +2, Hawley will win by +6, Blackburn and Cramer will win by double digits.
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I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,961
United States
Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: -4.70

P
« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2018, 05:18:40 pm »
« Edited: October 31, 2018, 05:54:33 pm by Brittain33 »


I hope these are the real final numbers on November 6

AZ: Sinema 48% McSally 52%
IN: Donnelly 45% Braun 50% Brenton 5%
MO: McCaskill 45% Hawley 53% Jaspethwhateverhisname is 2%
TN: Bredesen 43% Blackburn 57%
ND: Heitkamp 42% Cramer 58%




note that in December 2017 they had it Moore 40% Jones 50% undecided 8% and the REAL FINAL RESULT was Moore 48% Jones 50% !!!!!!!!!!!
Logged
I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,961
United States
Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: -4.70

P
« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2018, 05:22:27 pm »

note that in December 2017 they had it Moore 40% Jones 50% undecided 8% and the REAL FINAL RESULT was Moore 48% Jones 50% !!!!!!!!!!!
Imagine trying to extrapolate polling error from a December special election in Alabama to every poll nationally.

Well who knows, maybe it's a legit strategy
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I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,961
United States
Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: -4.70

P
« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2018, 05:50:22 pm »

all those Republicans will overperform. McSally will win by around +4, Braun will probably win by at least +2, Hawley will win by +6, Blackburn and Cramer will win by double digits.

With this type of clairvoyance, why are you wasting time on this forum and not winning the lottery daily?

maybe I am winning the lottery daily. You don't know me
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I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,961
United States
Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: -4.70

P
« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2018, 07:52:18 pm »
« Edited: October 31, 2018, 08:47:49 pm by Brittain33 »


yeah I believe that she's probably up by high double digits
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I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,961
United States
Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: -4.70

P
« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2018, 09:14:23 pm »

i feel like you might explode on nov 6

yeah, with joy at all the Republican victories when we hold the House and massively expand our lead in the Senate
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I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,961
United States
Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: -4.70

P
« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2018, 01:45:55 am »

meanwhile...back in 2016

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=248408.0

Thread: IN-Monmouth: Bayh +6


"Oh, what a relief.  I've been concerned that this one was a goner."

"Nice! Bayh has only lost 1 point in two months regardless of his crappy campaign."

"If Young loses this (which I think is likely), I hope he runs against Donnelly in 2018. "

"Clearly, people were engraving Bayh's tombstone a bit prematurely. He's not a lock by any means, but it's clear that Young can't count on Trump to pull him over the finish line."


"Bayh's favorable are still higher even after all the crap that's come out about him. That family name is gold in Indiana.

Bayh is beating Young by 10 points in the 50+ range and only 2 points in the 18-49 range."

"Bayh is more likely, so I guess tilt dem. This poll does not match other info, especially since I've heard internals on both sides show a tight race. "



Reality: Young 52.1% Bayh 42.4% Brenton 5.5%     

BRAUN WILL WIN...and so will many other GOP candidates
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I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,961
United States
Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: -4.70

P
« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2018, 11:21:18 am »

i feel like you might explode on nov 6

yeah, with joy at all the Republican victories when we hold the House and massively expand our lead in the Senate

Anybody wanna guess who NYC Millenial Minority is masquerading as? Also, what are the chances that they're some random white straight guy lurker?


-random
-white
-straight
-guy
-lurker


you are only 40% right. That is close to the percentage your side will have in the Senate after all is said and done. Coincidence?
Logged
I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,961
United States
Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: -4.70

P
« Reply #8 on: November 09, 2018, 05:50:44 pm »




AZ: Sinema 48% McSally 52%
IN: Donnelly 45% Braun 50% Brenton 5%
MO: McCaskill 45% Hawley 53% Jaspethwhateverhisname is 2%
TN: Bredesen 43% Blackburn 57%
ND: Heitkamp 42% Cramer 58%




note that in December 2017 they had it Moore 40% Jones 50% undecided 8% and the REAL FINAL RESULT was Moore 48% Jones 50% !!!!!!!!!!!

Looks like I wasn't that far off lmaoo
Logged
I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,961
United States
Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: -4.70

P
« Reply #9 on: November 11, 2018, 01:31:03 pm »

I don't want to hear sh**t anymore like "let's wait for Fox". lol they missed Indiana by 13 points. That's inexcusable.

Fox polls have this phenomenon where they get the Democratic candidate's vote % just right, but all the undecideds break for the Republican.

See: Doug Jones vs Roy Moore, and these 2018 polls
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