Fox Polls: AZ: Tie ; IN: Donnelly +7; MO: Tie; TN: Blackburn +9; ND: Cramer +9

[Calthrina950]

The IN poll is garbage (WAY too high undecideds). The rest are not very revelatory.

Indiana does seem to be unrealistic. I can see Donnelly leading, but not by that margin. The NBC/Marist poll is probably closer to the truth. The other polls, however, do seem very reasonable. Blackburn and Cramer are virtually guaranteed to win at this point, while Sinema and McCaskill each have a 50-50 shot. McCaskill's prospects actually appear to be a little better than I thought, though I have never written her off completely.

[Calthrina950]

Senate Races:
AZ: Sinema 46% McSally 46%
IN: Donnelly 45% Braun 38%
MO: McCaskill 43% Hawley 43%
TN: Bredesen 41% Blackburn 50%
ND: Heitkamp 42% Cramer 51%
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-north-dakota-senate-poll-10-31-2018


https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-trump-approval-remains-high-in-senate-battleground-states

real final numbers on November 6

AZ: Sinema 48% McSally 52%
IN: Donnelly 45% Braun 50% Brenton 5%
MO: McCaskill 45% Hawley 53% Jaspethwhateverhisname is 2%
TN: Bredesen 43% Blackburn 57%
ND: Heitkamp 42% Cramer 58%

You seem very confident about these races. While I would not be surprised if Blackburn and Cramer win by double digits, I highly doubt that Hawley, Braun, or McSally will receive an absolute majority, let alone win by more than 3-4 points.