AK-Alaska Survey Research: Tie
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  AK-Alaska Survey Research: Tie
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Author Topic: AK-Alaska Survey Research: Tie  (Read 2478 times)
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
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Canada


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E: -6.06, S: -8.70

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« on: October 31, 2018, 12:47:10 PM »

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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2018, 12:48:35 PM »

Woah.
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user12345
wifikitten
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« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2018, 12:49:35 PM »

Jesus.... Who knows what happens in this race.
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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E: -0.13, S: -0.87

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« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2018, 12:49:56 PM »

But IceSpear told me this race was Safe R!
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2018, 12:49:59 PM »

I still think Dunleavy wins by 3-5, but I might move this from Lean R to Tossup if another poll confirms this.
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Galaxie
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« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2018, 12:50:33 PM »

What’s this pollster’s reputation? Crazy poll if reliable
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
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United States


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E: -7.25, S: -6.50

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« Reply #6 on: October 31, 2018, 12:51:11 PM »

I need more polling, this could be insane!
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
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E: -6.52, S: -3.91

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« Reply #7 on: October 31, 2018, 12:53:29 PM »

I need to see another poll, but it looks like Bad Boy Begich just might pull this out. I'll at least move this from Likely R to Lean R, and I may need to move it to Toss-Up if another poll confirms this.
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libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #8 on: October 31, 2018, 01:02:25 PM »

Poor Alaska.  Seems it can't keep any incumbents in the 21st century.
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Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: October 31, 2018, 01:10:59 PM »

Be careful, Ivan Moore is pretty dem friendly usually, not to say it's wrong, but caution is warranted.
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #10 on: October 31, 2018, 01:12:10 PM »

Be careful, Ivan Moore is pretty dem friendly usually, not to say it's wrong, but caution is warranted.

Ah, this is Ivan Moore? The same guys who showed Begich winning by 6 in 2014?
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Devout Centrist
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E: -99.99, S: -99.99

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« Reply #11 on: October 31, 2018, 01:14:21 PM »

ASR regularly polls Alaska. They've done polling here since at least 2016. I think they're separate from Ivan Moore

EDIT: no, they've worked with Ivan Moore since 2016. Here are some of there previous results:

https://s3.amazonaws.com/arc-wordpress-client-uploads/adn/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/13065501/ADN-poll-crosstabs-Oct-2016.pdf
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #12 on: October 31, 2018, 01:19:59 PM »

Big if true.
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Fubart Solman
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #13 on: October 31, 2018, 01:29:44 PM »

Smiley

Go Begich Go!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
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Jamaica
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E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« Reply #14 on: October 31, 2018, 01:38:59 PM »

Big, Begich can win
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
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E: -6.19, S: -6.43

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« Reply #15 on: October 31, 2018, 01:39:11 PM »

But IceSpear told me this race was Safe R!

It literally was in the three way race.
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Fubart Solman
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #16 on: October 31, 2018, 01:49:01 PM »

But IceSpear told me this race was Safe R!

It literally was in the three way race.
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😥
andjey
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #17 on: October 31, 2018, 02:07:59 PM »

I need to see another poll, but it looks like Bad Boy Begich just might pull this out. I'll at least move this from Likely R to Lean R, and I may need to move it to Toss-Up if another poll confirms this.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #18 on: October 31, 2018, 02:20:12 PM »

Beautiful Begich vs Dumb Dunleavy!
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
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E: -6.71, S: -7.65

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« Reply #19 on: October 31, 2018, 06:53:07 PM »

So many of today's comforting polls, like this one, better not just be more false hope!
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #20 on: October 31, 2018, 06:55:09 PM »

They always fall for the bad boys
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OneJ
OneJ_
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« Reply #21 on: October 31, 2018, 07:37:08 PM »

This race might give me a heart attack, but I sill predict a Dulvaney victory by about 4-6 points. I don't trust Alaskan polls due to their track record and boy it's not good (anyone remembers 2016?). It'll be nice to see Bad Boy Begich pull it out though.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
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E: -7.87, S: -3.83

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« Reply #22 on: November 01, 2018, 12:38:21 AM »

...well, I wasn't expecting that. Maybe this is still winnable after all.
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Hammy
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« Reply #23 on: November 01, 2018, 02:04:29 AM »

Decimals...
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Skye
yeah_93
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« Reply #24 on: November 01, 2018, 04:18:19 AM »

But Atlas told me Begich shohld have dropped out of the race.
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