Yes, I am going to unscew that Poll a bit
Party ID
Republicans 35
Independents 35
Democrats 28
R + 7 Electorate
Marist is NUTS. The current Party Breakdown of the Ballots that have been already returned are
Republicans 43.7
Democrats 33.1
Independents 22.7
So, Marist claims that over the next 5 Days (Early Voting) + Election Day the Independent Share of the Electorate will go from 22.7 to 35. That is absolutely INSANE and CRAZY.
They also say that in the same time Republicans drop from 43.7 to 35, an 8.7-Point Drop in 5 Days + Election Day...completely unreasonable.
Racial Breakdown
65 % White
4 % African-American
19 % Latino
13 % Other
No way it will be 65 % White, 35 % Non-White.
They also claim 15 % of Voters will be 18-29.
WHAT IS WRONG WITH THESE POLLSTERS?
1) Party ID and party registration are two different things mate. The ballots returned are party registration, the numbers you cite are party ID.
2) What makes a 65-35 white/non-white electorate odd? Arizona’s population is only 58% non-Hispanic white.
3) What makes 15% of voters being <30 strange? Despite its reputation, Arizona actually has a lower median age than the nation as a whole.