AZhighground (R internal): McSally 1+ (user search)
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  AZhighground (R internal): McSally 1+ (search mode)
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Author Topic: AZhighground (R internal): McSally 1+  (Read 2799 times)
Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« on: October 29, 2018, 05:54:10 PM »
« edited: October 29, 2018, 05:58:22 PM by Hindsight is 2020 »

McSally: 46
Sinema: 45
Wow McSally is up only 1 in an R internal that sees Ducey up 19
http://www.azhighground.com/blog/post/breaking--senate-dead-heat-and-dominant-ducey
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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Posts: 13,329
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« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2018, 06:08:11 PM »

I’m sorry for the doom and gloom in the EV thread. I clearly read too much into the #’s
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2018, 06:27:56 PM »

Two other Polls from Data Orbital & Predictive Insights to be released this week will have McSally ahead as well.
You said they were coming out last week. Also this is a bad poll for McSally fwi
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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Posts: 13,329
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« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2018, 07:42:11 PM »

So a Republican being up just 1 in their own internal means that they're going to win? I guess if an O'Rourke internal showed him up 1, that would mean that O'Rourke would win.

Actually, the Arizona Secretary of State recently reported that McSally is ahead by over 90 000 votes. And in the Maricopa County, the county that will likely decide the outcome of this race, her lead there is even larger than Trump's margin of victory there in 2016.
If you read this and other polls like Yougov you’d see the gops good EV is factored in. It’s blatantly obvious Sinema is winning a noticeable chunk of republicans
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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Posts: 13,329
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« Reply #4 on: October 29, 2018, 09:03:28 PM »

Arizona demonstrates that ticket-splitting is not dead. There appear to be a substantial number of Ducey/Sinema voters. I would assume that they are independents and moderate Republicans who are satisfied with Ducey's performance as Governor and who are attracted by Sinema's centrism.
Or it’s older people who don’t want McSally anywhere near their healthcare
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