AZhighground (R internal): McSally 1+
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  AZhighground (R internal): McSally 1+
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Author Topic: AZhighground (R internal): McSally 1+  (Read 2758 times)
Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« on: October 29, 2018, 05:54:10 PM »
« edited: October 29, 2018, 05:58:22 PM by Hindsight is 2020 »

McSally: 46
Sinema: 45
Wow McSally is up only 1 in an R internal that sees Ducey up 19
http://www.azhighground.com/blog/post/breaking--senate-dead-heat-and-dominant-ducey
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2018, 06:00:44 PM »

McSally only up 1 in an R internal (that also has Ducey up a ridiculous 19)?

I mean, she's been acting as if she was losing recently so..
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
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« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2018, 06:01:49 PM »

McSally is done
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2018, 06:08:11 PM »

I’m sorry for the doom and gloom in the EV thread. I clearly read too much into the #’s
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #4 on: October 29, 2018, 06:12:59 PM »

I'm comfortable with saying Sinema is more likely than not to win. On another note: that is a TON of Ducey/Sinema voters...
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: October 29, 2018, 06:14:33 PM »

Great news!
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KingSweden
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« Reply #6 on: October 29, 2018, 06:16:24 PM »

Why would you release this
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Zaybay
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« Reply #7 on: October 29, 2018, 06:17:12 PM »

But I thought by unskewing YouGov, you would get McSally up by 1000%
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Politician
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« Reply #8 on: October 29, 2018, 06:17:22 PM »

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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: October 29, 2018, 06:24:42 PM »

Two other Polls from Data Orbital & Predictive Insights to be released this week will have McSally ahead as well.
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #10 on: October 29, 2018, 06:27:56 PM »

Two other Polls from Data Orbital & Predictive Insights to be released this week will have McSally ahead as well.
You said they were coming out last week. Also this is a bad poll for McSally fwi
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UWS
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« Reply #11 on: October 29, 2018, 06:29:40 PM »
« Edited: October 29, 2018, 07:06:09 PM by UWS »

Oh AZhighground!

Martha McSally : It’s over Kyrsten! I have the high ground!

Kyrsten Sinema : You underestimate my power.

Martha McSally : Don’t  try it!

And then McSally wins.

LOL

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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #12 on: October 29, 2018, 06:30:45 PM »

Oh AZhighground!

Martha McSally : It’s over Kyrsten! I have the high ground!

Kyrsten Sinema : You underestimate my power.

Martha McSally : Don’t  try it!

And McSally wins.

LOL

Cringe
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #13 on: October 29, 2018, 06:31:10 PM »

Two other Polls from Data Orbital & Predictive Insights to be released this week will have McSally ahead as well.
You said they were coming out last week. Also this is a bad poll for McSally fwi
They haven't released the Senate & Governor Numbers but they have released these Top Lines thus far:

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Zaybay
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« Reply #14 on: October 29, 2018, 06:33:32 PM »

You do realize how unbelievable all those numbers are, right?

Also, the poll will probably be worse for McSally, considering the GCB and Trump Approval is more D friendly than the last one, which would probably give McSally+3-4.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #15 on: October 29, 2018, 06:35:02 PM »

FYI, the poll sampled Republicans 10 points more than Dems (which is reasonable), so people making their predictions on this race based on the EV should, you know, stop.

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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #16 on: October 29, 2018, 06:35:47 PM »


They nailed the AZ 8 Special Election and they will nail the Senate & Governor Race too.

You go home into your Democratic Glashouse Zaybay.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #17 on: October 29, 2018, 06:36:55 PM »

FYI, the poll sampled Republicans 10 points more than Dems (which is reasonable), so people making their predictions on this race based on the EV should, you know, stop.



That’s the current EV gap right?
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #18 on: October 29, 2018, 06:37:24 PM »

FYI, the poll sampled Republicans 10 points more than Dems (which is reasonable), so people making their predictions on this race based on the EV should, you know, stop.

The Assistent Director for the AZ SoS said that the Partisan Composition will stay around 10 Points.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #19 on: October 29, 2018, 06:39:09 PM »

FYI, the poll sampled Republicans 10 points more than Dems (which is reasonable), so people making their predictions on this race based on the EV should, you know, stop.



That’s the current EV gap right?

Current Gap is 10.6...it will be between 9.5 to 10.0 at the end of EV.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #20 on: October 29, 2018, 06:40:04 PM »

FYI, the poll sampled Republicans 10 points more than Dems (which is reasonable), so people making their predictions on this race based on the EV should, you know, stop.



That’s the current EV gap right?

Correct, so Sinema is getting a sizable chunk of the GOP vote, just like Tipernineni did in April. #WalkAway
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Zaybay
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« Reply #21 on: October 29, 2018, 06:43:22 PM »


They nailed the AZ 8 Special Election and they will nail the Senate & Governor Race too.

You go home into your Democratic Glashouse Zaybay.
Just because you nail one election doesnt make you a god at polling. Last I checked, no one is worshiping Trafalgar.

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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #22 on: October 29, 2018, 06:50:17 PM »

If this is an internal, I feel better.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #23 on: October 29, 2018, 07:00:14 PM »

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Person Man
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« Reply #24 on: October 29, 2018, 07:17:09 PM »


They nailed the AZ 8 Special Election and they will nail the Senate & Governor Race too.

You go home into your Democratic Glashouse Zaybay.
Just because you nail one election doesnt make you a god at polling. Last I checked, no one is worshiping Trafalgar.



They were only accurate because they were on the right edge and that election veered to the right.
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