NJ-Emerson: Menendez +5

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Imagine only being ahead by 5 in a state where Trump's disapprovals are near the 60s and Democrats have carried the state by double digits for the past 3 presidential elections.

Imo the race is tilt D, but NJ is probably the 3rd most likely GOP pickup (behind ND and MO).

So even you are back at having Menendez ahead, good.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Imagine only being ahead by 5 in a state where Trump's disapprovals are near the 60s and Democrats have carried the state by double digits for the past 3 presidential elections.

Imo the race is tilt D, but NJ is probably the 3rd most likely GOP pickup (behind ND and MO).

So even you are back at having Menendez ahead, good.

I literally told you if you held a gun to my head that Menendez wins by a slim margin lol

(PS, don't steal my Joe Manchin 2020 logo if you're gonna be an asshat to me)

Why these then?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I think Menendez sucks and is a corrupt dirtbag, but I doubt that he is a pedo.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

No offense Admiral, but I really think you’re letting your personal/gut feelings about Menendez or this race in general cloud your judgement and influence your prediction. There’s really no way NJ is more likely to flip than IN or MT. Don’t get your hopes up, Senator Hugin isn’t happening.