Another day, another poll showing Gillum ahead. A reminder that polls were not that far off in Florida in 2016.
Indeed, poll averages are actually pretty accurate in Florida, usually being within 2 points or so.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/governor/fl/florida_governor_scott_vs_crist-3545.htmlhttps://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_trump_vs_clinton-5635.htmlhttps://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/governor/fl/florida_governor_scott_vs_sink_vs_chiles-1607.htmlThe exception is the 2016 senate race, where Rubio was ahead by 3.7 in the rcp average but won by nearly 8, but Patrick Murphy was a weak candidate who didn't get much outside support anyway.