Arkansas Yankee
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,175
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« on: October 28, 2018, 03:24:32 PM » |
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You Gov is a B pollster like PPP, which has saintly status on this site.
In a Florida poll conducted 11/2-4/16 YouGov had Hillary and Trump tied at 45%.
In a Florida poll conducted 10/12-13/16 PPP had Hillary leading 49% to 42%. PPP did not conduct later poll or did not release one.
PPP conducted a Florida Senate poll 10/25-26/16 with a tied race. In its 11/2-4 poll YouGov had Rubio leading Murphy 47% to 44%.
Since 10/20/18 there have been 7 polls showing Nelson ahead by 4 to 9 points, 1 poll has showed Nelson leading by 1 point, 2 polls have showed Scott with a 1 point lead, one showed Scott leading by 2 points, and YouGov shows a tie.
538 has adjusted all the polls but one to show a Nelson lead of .9% to 11.7%. It adjusted this YouGov poll to show a Nelson lead of 2.4%.
We will have to see if this YouGov poll is an outlier.
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