Make up polls to fend off the polling desert
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  Make up polls to fend off the polling desert
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Author Topic: Make up polls to fend off the polling desert  (Read 2952 times)
Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 27, 2018, 10:10:02 AM »

We are in a polling desert right now, starved of the #s of quality polls that we deserve while we wait for everyone to conduct their final polls over the next week.

So, to distract yourself and to feed your poll addiction, make up a poll instead. A fake poll is better than no poll at all. These need not be predictions of polls, but can be if you want.

I'll go first.

CNN/SSRS Generic Congressional Ballot

Dem 53%
GOP 42%

Oct 24-27, 782 LV
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Virginiá
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« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2018, 10:17:07 AM »

NYT/Siena re-poll: Heller+6

It's over folks
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: October 27, 2018, 10:25:05 AM »

WI-Marquette: Walker +10

I told you guys. Wisconsin is the next Arkansas. Democrats spitting on the Midwest and pandering to Atlanta/Dallas/Orange County ensures it.
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #3 on: October 27, 2018, 10:25:35 AM »

CBS: McCaskill +3
        Donnelly +5
        Sinema +4
We’re back baby!
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #4 on: October 27, 2018, 10:26:37 AM »

St. God's Memorial College (666 LV)
Trump Approval

Trump is God! 32%
Trump's really rich. I kinda like him. 12%
Trump scares me a little, he makes good points, though. 11%
Trump IS EVIL!! 34%
I DON'T GIVE A HECK! 11%
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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« Reply #5 on: October 27, 2018, 10:35:24 AM »

Using a random number generator for one candidate, and subtracting from 95 to get 2nd candidate, or 100 in races with no third party:

WA-8:
Schrier: 90
Rossi: 10

NY-19:
Delgado: 69
Faso: 26

ND SEN:
Heitkamp: 48
Cramer: 47

CA SEN
De Leon: 86
Feinstein: 14

Brazilian Presidency:
Bolsonaro: 88
Haddad: 12

Bonus: A 2020 poll that doesn't include Biden or Sanders:

Booker: 24
Delaney: 18
Warren: 17
Gillibrand: 10
Gabbard: 5
Harris: 4
Avenatti: 4
Klobuchar: 0

Undecided: 18
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #6 on: October 27, 2018, 10:37:01 AM »

WA-8:
Schrier: 90
Rossi: 10

NY-19:
Delgado: 69
Faso: 26

ND SEN:
Heitkamp: 48
Cramer: 47

CA SEN
De Leon: 86
Feinstein: 14

Please inject ALL of these into my veins, thanks!
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Xing
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« Reply #7 on: October 27, 2018, 11:05:37 AM »

NV-SEN/GOV:
UTDH 51
Wacky Jacky 41

Laxalt 50
Sisolak 42

NJ-SEN:
Hugin 48
Menendez 46

TN-SEN:
Bredesen 52
Blackburn 41

TX-SEN:
O'Rourke 50
Cruz 46

CA-22:
Janz 45
Nunes 44

FL-27:
Salazar 54
Shalala 35

NY-27:
McMurray 48
Collins 43

PA-05:
Scanlon 47
Kim 45

#CandidateQualityMatters
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YE
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« Reply #8 on: October 27, 2018, 11:07:15 AM »

UTDH 100
Wacky Jacky 0
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #9 on: October 27, 2018, 11:14:39 AM »

University of Alabama poll of AL-06:

Poop(R) 48%
Jesus (D) 44%

I'm pretty sure that Poop is gonna slide through in the end given the lean of the district.  It may even end up being a mudslide.
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Roblox
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« Reply #10 on: October 27, 2018, 11:30:17 AM »

Montana senate- Tester: 508
                         Weak Candidate Matt Rosendale: 2

Florida governor

Gillum: 54
Desantis: 44
 
Iowa Governor
Hubbel: 48
Reynolds:43

Ohio Governor
Cordray: 49
Dewine: 44

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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #11 on: October 27, 2018, 11:41:18 AM »

Morrissey leads 49-44.
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Boobs
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« Reply #12 on: October 27, 2018, 12:12:13 PM »

Emerson poll of Colorado:
GOV:
Polis 45%
Stapleton 43%

CO-06:
Coffman 39%
Crow 39%

CO-03:
Tipton 8%
Mitsch Bush 3%
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #13 on: October 27, 2018, 12:15:12 PM »

Emerson poll of ME-02:

Poliquin: 38
Golden: 36

It’s over folks
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #14 on: October 27, 2018, 12:15:15 PM »

Emerson poll of Colorado:
GOV:
Polis 45%
Stapleton 43%

CO-06:
Coffman 39%
Crow 39%

CO-03:
Tipton 8%
Mitsch Bush 3%


Too high decided for the Gov race, not buying it.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #15 on: October 27, 2018, 12:32:21 PM »

Frederick Moore (R candidate for HD 37) on the ropes in his own internal (!), Democratic EARTHSLIDE incoming, MT GOP finished:

51% Moore (R)
44% Write-in: Jon Tester (D)
4% Write-in: Steve Bullock (D)
1% Undecided

Senate race in HD-37:

94% Tester (D)
3% Breckenridge (L)
2% Rosendale (R)
1% Undecided

House:

60% Gianforte (R)
37% Williams (D)
3% Swanson (L)

2020 Senate race:

51% Bullock (D)
37% Daines (R)

Trump approval: 66/33 (+33)

Please keep this strictly confidential, I don’t want to get into trouble.
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Fubart Solman
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #16 on: October 27, 2018, 12:46:52 PM »

Poll of Alaskan Natives aged 18-21

Begich 95%
Walker 2%
Dunleavy 0%
Undecided: 3%

Sample size: 100, MoE: 0.4%
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Rhenna
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« Reply #17 on: October 27, 2018, 12:47:31 PM »

Random Number Generator (No undecideds, so lets pretend it's Vox Populi or something)

LA-Gov 2019
John Bel Edwards* - 10%
John Neely Kennedy - 90%

FL-27
Donna Shalala - 87%
Maria Elvira Salazar - 13%

ND-Sen
Heidi Heitkamp* - 64%
Kevin Cramer - 36%

FL-Sen
Bill Nelson* - 79%
Rick Scott - 21%

FL-Gov
Andrew Gillum - 53% (muh dragging Nelson over the finish line)
Ron DeSantis - 47%

NY-27
Nate McMurray - 16%
Chris Collins* - 84%

NY-Gov
Andrew Cuomo* - 20%
Marcus Molinaro - 79%
Miner/Sharpe/Hawkins - 1%

NV-Sen
Jacky Rosen - 2%
Dean Heller* - 98%
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Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #18 on: October 27, 2018, 03:00:22 PM »

NM Senate Race
Gary Johnson 55%
Heinrich 40%
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #19 on: October 27, 2018, 03:03:07 PM »

MI Senate-

John James: 103%
Satan-cow: -11%
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IceSpear
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« Reply #20 on: October 27, 2018, 04:52:58 PM »

FOX: Cramer +9

Atlas: "Told you guys Heidi was still in this. She's surging. At this rate she'll be ahead by January. Toss up/tilt D imo tbh imho"
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IceSpear
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« Reply #21 on: October 27, 2018, 04:55:52 PM »

NV-Sen
Jacky Rosen - 2%
Dean Heller* - 98%

Are you sure that was an RNG and not the actual result?
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #22 on: October 27, 2018, 05:02:36 PM »

Ojeda 54
Miller 45

Bacon 55
Eastman 44
MUH CANDIDATE QUALITY


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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #23 on: October 27, 2018, 05:45:14 PM »

ND-SEN if Debbie "Levin" Stabenow cuts an ad for Heidi Heitkamp:

63% Heitkamp (D)
33% Cramer (R)

ND-SEN if Jon Tester campaigns for Heidi Heitkamp:

84% Heitkamp (D)
13% Cramer (R)

ND-SEN if the pollsters stopped underestimating Democrats/overcompensating for 2016:

54% Heitkamp (D)
44% Cramer (R)

ND-SEN if voters become aware of Cramer's Akin comments/potty mouth:

55% Heitkamp (D)
34% Cramer (R)

ND-SEN if voters realize that 2018 is a TRUMP MIDTERM:

66% Heitkamp (D)
30% Cramer (R)

ND-SEN if voters realize that Cramer is a WEAK CANDIDATE:

62% Heitkamp (D)
30% Cramer (R)

ND-SEN if voters realize that Heitkamp is a STRONG INCUMBENT:

68% Heitkamp (D)
20% Cramer (R)

ND-SEN if voters realize that Cramer is a WEAK CANDIDATE AND that Heitkamp is a STRONG INCUMBENT:

90% Heitkamp (D)
7% Cramer (R)

ND-SEN if pollsters listen to my gut feelings:

64% Heitkamp (D)
28% Cramer (R)

#VAGOV2017redux
#MOSEN2012redux
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #24 on: October 27, 2018, 06:32:56 PM »

VT-SEN: Overtime Politics

Bernie Sanders - 88%
Lawrence Zupan 9%

678 LV, 10/24-10/25

#BernieUnder90
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