Make up polls to fend off the polling desert

[Former President tack50]

Ok, this one is fun. I'll join in the Random number generator club, for all senate races

I'll assume a random number between 0 and 12% for undecideds (and third parties outside ME and NM) as well.

Maine

Zak Ringelstein (D): 49%
Angus King (I): 47%
Eric Brakey (R): 3%

Vermont

Lawrence Zupan (R): 58%
Bernie Sanders (D): 30%

Massachussets

Elizabeth Warren (D): 68%
Shiva Ayyadurai (I): 14%
Geoff Diehl (R): 12%

New York

Chele Farley (R): 68%
Kirsten Gillibrand (D): 24%

Rhode Island

Robert Flanders (R): 84%
Sheldon Whitehouse (D): 4%

Connecticut

Chris Murphy (D): 66%
Matthew Corey (R): 28%

New Jersey

Bob Menendez (D): 96%
Bob Hugin (R): 1%

Delaware

Tom Carper (D): 95%
Rob Arlett (R): 2%

Maryland

Tony Campbell (R): 86%
Ben Cardin (D): 3%

Virginia

Tim Kaine (D): 54%
Corey Stewart (R): 37%

West Virginia

Joe Manchin (D): 93%
Patrick Morrisey (R): 6%

Pennsylvania

Bob Casey (D): 90%
Lou Barletta (R): 0%

Ohio

Sherrod Brown (D): 76%
Jim Renacci (R): 18%

Michigan

Debbie Stabenow (D): 95%
John James (R): 3%

Indiana

Joe Donnelly (D): 53%
Mike Braun (R): 37%

Tennessee

Marsha Blackburn (R): 69%
Phil Bredesen (D): 24%

Florida

Bill Nelson (D): 73%
Rick Scott (R): 19%

Mississippi regular

David Baria (D): 78%
Roger Wicker (R): 13%

Mississippi special

Chris McDaniel (R): 46%
Mike Espy (D): 34%
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R): 15%

Missouri

Claire McCaskill (D): 85%
Josh Hawley (R): 14%

Wisconsin

Tammy Baldwin (D): 66%
Leah Vukmir (R): 32%

Minnesota regular

Amy Klobuchar (D): 72%
Jim Newberger (R): 17%

Minnesota special

Tina Smith (D): 91%
Karin Housley (R): 0%

North Dakota

Kevin Cramer (R): 68%
Heidi Heitkamp (D): 24%

Nebraska

Deb Fischer (R): 69%
Jane Raybould (D): 23%

Texas

Beto O'Rourke (D): 84%
Ted Cruz (R): 12%

New Mexico

Mick Rich (R): 46%
Martin Heinrich (D): 31%
Gary Johnson (L): 14%

Montana

Jon Tester (D): 77%
Matt Rosendale (R): 22%

Wyoming

Gary Trauner (D): 92%
John Barrasso (R): 3%

Utah

Jenny Wilson (D); 95%
Mitt Romney (R): 2%

Arizona

Martha McSally (R): 85%
Krysten Sinema (D): 10%

Nevada

Jacky Rosen (D): 81%
Dean Heller (R): 11%

California

Kevin De Leon (D): 56%
Dianne Feinstein (D): 34%

Washington

Maria Cantwell (D): 84%
Susan Hutchinson (R): 7%

Hawaii

Mazie Hirono (D): 95%
Ron Curtis (R): 4%

McDaniel and De Leon represented as independents, Alabama as MS-Special, Iowa as MN-special

Overall result: No net change, pending the runoff in Mississippi

[OBD]

Oregon-2 Gravis Poll

Jaime McLeod-Skinner (D) 57%

Greg Walden* (R) 36%

Undecided 7%

[IceSpear]

Ok, this one is fun. I'll join in the Random number generator club, for all senate races

I'll assume a random number between 0 and 12% for undecideds (and third parties outside ME and NM) as well.

Maine

Zak Ringelstein (D): 49%
Angus King (I): 47%
Eric Brakey (R): 3%

Vermont

Lawrence Zupan (R): 58%
Bernie Sanders (D): 30%

Massachussets

Elizabeth Warren (D): 68%
Shiva Ayyadurai (I): 14%
Geoff Diehl (R): 12%

New York

Chele Farley (R): 68%
Kirsten Gillibrand (D): 24%

Rhode Island

Robert Flanders (R): 84%
Sheldon Whitehouse (D): 4%

Connecticut

Chris Murphy (D): 66%
Matthew Corey (R): 28%

New Jersey

Bob Menendez (D): 96%
Bob Hugin (R): 1%

Delaware

Tom Carper (D): 95%
Rob Arlett (R): 2%

Maryland

Tony Campbell (R): 86%
Ben Cardin (D): 3%

Virginia

Tim Kaine (D): 54%
Corey Stewart (R): 37%

West Virginia

Joe Manchin (D): 93%
Patrick Morrisey (R): 6%

Pennsylvania

Bob Casey (D): 90%
Lou Barletta (R): 0%

Ohio

Sherrod Brown (D): 76%
Jim Renacci (R): 18%

Michigan

Debbie Stabenow (D): 95%
John James (R): 3%

Indiana

Joe Donnelly (D): 53%
Mike Braun (R): 37%

Tennessee

Marsha Blackburn (R): 69%
Phil Bredesen (D): 24%

Florida

Bill Nelson (D): 73%
Rick Scott (R): 19%

Mississippi regular

David Baria (D): 78%
Roger Wicker (R): 13%

Mississippi special

Chris McDaniel (R): 46%
Mike Espy (D): 34%
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R): 15%

Missouri

Claire McCaskill (D): 85%
Josh Hawley (R): 14%

Wisconsin

Tammy Baldwin (D): 66%
Leah Vukmir (R): 32%

Minnesota regular

Amy Klobuchar (D): 72%
Jim Newberger (R): 17%

Minnesota special

Tina Smith (D): 91%
Karin Housley (R): 0%

North Dakota

Kevin Cramer (R): 68%
Heidi Heitkamp (D): 24%

Nebraska

Deb Fischer (R): 69%
Jane Raybould (D): 23%

Texas

Beto O'Rourke (D): 84%
Ted Cruz (R): 12%

New Mexico

Mick Rich (R): 46%
Martin Heinrich (D): 31%
Gary Johnson (L): 14%

Montana

Jon Tester (D): 77%
Matt Rosendale (R): 22%

Wyoming

Gary Trauner (D): 92%
John Barrasso (R): 3%

Utah

Jenny Wilson (D); 95%
Mitt Romney (R): 2%

Arizona

Martha McSally (R): 85%
Krysten Sinema (D): 10%

Nevada

Jacky Rosen (D): 81%
Dean Heller (R): 11%

California

Kevin De Leon (D): 56%
Dianne Feinstein (D): 34%

Washington

Maria Cantwell (D): 84%
Susan Hutchinson (R): 7%

Hawaii

Mazie Hirono (D): 95%
Ron Curtis (R): 4%

McDaniel and De Leon represented as independents, Alabama as MS-Special, Iowa as MN-special

Overall result: No net change, pending the runoff in Mississippi

Since I am an Atlas poster, I will take all these polls as gospel and write a multi paragraph essay about this new #realignment. Stay tuned!

[progressive85]

Trump approval rating - job performance
67% Disapprove
28% Approve

Trump approval rating - him as a person
74% Disapprove
22% Approve

Who do you want to see win on Election Day?
62% Democrats
31% Republicans

Nevada Senate Race
55% Rosen
41% Heller

Florida Senate Race
59% Nelson
36% Scott

Texas Senate Race
54% Beto
42% Lyin' Ted

Tennessee Senate Race
51% Bredesen
46% Blackburn

North Dakota Senate Race
47% Heitkamp
46% Cramer

Montana Senate Race
56% Tester
41% That other guy

Indiana Senate Race
54% Joe
42% The Republican dude

Missouri Senate Race
46% Flawless Beautiful Claire
41% The one that wants to take my health care away

California Swing Seats Generic House Ballot
56% Democrats
37% Republicans

IA-4 SHOCK POLL
51% J.D. Scholten (D)
46% The Nazi

Is US headed down wrong track?
64% Yes
30% No

Is Trump a racist?
59% Yes
38% No

Is Trump a sexist?
74% Yes
21% No

Opinion of the Clintons
60% Negative
34% Positive

Opinion of Democratic Party
52% Negative
43% Positive

Opinion of Republican Party
67% Negative
28% Positive

Should Brett Kavanaugh have won seat on Supreme Court?
63% No
32% Yes

Opinion of Kardashians
54% Negative
37% Positive

Opinion of Stormy Daniels
59% Positive
36% Negative

Would you favor or oppose legislation to outlaw Internet pornography?
91% Oppose
6% Support

[CookieDamage]

Nevada - Quinnipiac 10/29 - 11/4 650 LVs

Jacky Rosen - 50%
Dean Heller - 47%

atlas: ...

Nevada- Vox Populi 10/1 - 11/3 450 RVs

Dean Heller - 47%
Jacky Rosen - 46%

atlas: Obviously this race is going towards the Republican Party. Rosen was clearly a horrid candidate and Shelley Berkeley would have made this race competitive unlike Rosen who is allowing it to slip away from her.

[Dr. MB]

OR-02
Jamie McLeod-Skinner (D): 52%
Greg Walden (R): 44%

OR-05
Mark Callahan (R): 64%
Kurt Schrader (D): 26%

WA-05
Lisa Brown (D): 49%
Cathy McMorris-Rodgers (R): 41%

MT-AL
Kathleen Williams (D): 56%
Greg Gianforte (R): 40%

[OBD]

Ok guys this is an Actual High Quality Poll^TM

Poll of Likely Voters in Wasco and Jefferson Counties, based on campaign signs that Dems for Knute saw on the bus ride to Redmond:

n=7
Jaime McLeod-Skinner 57%
Greg Walden 43%

n=about 15
Knute Buehler 93%
Kate Brown 7%

Margin of Error? Large.

[Continential]

FL-Sen

Jeb Bush 100%
Bill Nelson 0%
Rick Scott 0%

[Tender Branson]

Nevada - Quinnipiac 10/29 - 11/4 650 LVs

Jacky Rosen - 50%
Dean Heller - 47%

atlas: ...

Quinnipiac does not poll NV ...

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

MO-Scout/Remington Poll of Missouri State Senate District 5:

McCaskill: 81%
Hawley: 10%

10/22-10/27, 427 LV

State Senate District 5 is in St. Louis city.

[TheSaint250]

Gary Johnson: Freedom%
Martin Heinrich: 1%
Mick Rich: lolno%

Multiple sources confirming

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

NJ-07

Leanard Lance (Republican) - 40%
Tom Malinowski (Democrat) - 39%
Diane Moxley (Green) - 9%
Gregg Mele (Freedom, Responsibility, Action) - 1%

DCCC internal released to try to stop people from voting for the spoiler Green Party candidate

[Rhenna]

2020 Democratic Primary
Sen. Heidi Heitkamp - 36%
Rep. Donna Shalala - 29%
Alec Baldwin - 20%
Fmr. VP Joe Biden - 9%
Sen. Bernie Sanders - 6%

[BlueDogs2020]

Emerson Iowa Gov Poll 2:
Hubbell 54, Reynolds 30
1: Blum (R)40, Finkenauer D 22
2: Peters 31, Loebsack 28
3. Young 62, Axne 23
4. King 39, Sxholten 12
Too few undecideds? Pretty realistic.

Also:
UTDH 54, Wacky Jacky 39

Red district MD-6; R+12

Shalala 60, Salazar 24.   (No one can take this night away from Donna Shalsla!!!)

[scutosaurus]

CNN/SSRS national poll of the 2020 Democratic presidential primary:

Abercrombie: 19%
Rahall: 15%
G. Graham: 11%
Barnes: 7%
Herseth Sandlin: 5%
K. Meek: 4%
B. Sanders: 3%
Wofford: 2%
Yang: 2%
Kaczynski: 1%
Booker: 1%
Undecided: 30%

10/26-10/30, 542 LV

[J. J.]

NV-Sen
Jacky Rosen - 46.5%
Dean Heller* - 53.5%

[Very Legal & Very Cool]

W.A.

California

Feinstein 53%
De Leon 28%

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

North Dakota
Cramer 51%
Heitkamp 44%

Montana
Tester 50%
Rosendale 46%

Missouri
Hawley 48%
McCaskil 45%


Indiana
Braun 48%
Donnelly 45%

Indiana and MO voted very similarly in 2008 (Tied), 2012 (Romney by 10) and 2016 (Trump by 19/20) , just as a note.

Florida
Nelson 48%
Scott 47%

Texas
Cruz 49%
Beto 46%

Arizona
Sinema 49%
McSally 45%

Nevada
Heller 48%
Rosen 46%

Tennessee
Blackburn 53%
Bredeson 45%

Virginia
Kaine 56%
Stewart 35%

Nebraska
Fischer 55%
Raybould 40%

Michigan
Stabenow 55%
James 42%

NJ
Menendez 50%
Hugin 45%

Vermont
Sanders 73%
Zupan 19%

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

MI-SEN, black vote
James 67
Stabenow 30

MI-SEN, blacks under the age of 30
James 80
Stabenow 16

MI-SEN, white vote
Stabenow 75
James 22

MI-SEN, all voters over 60
Eminem (write-in) 36
Stabenow 34
James 26

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

We shouldn't have to still be making up GCB polls. Sigh.

I can accept polling desert 2 weeks before the election, but now midway through the week before the election?

Anyway... dueling SHOCK POLLS


FOX GCB

Dem 57
Rep 41


Pew GCB

Dem 50
Rep 47

[Xing]

You all ready for some PTSD?

WI-SEN
Baldwin 46
Vukmir 40

WI-GOV
Evers 45
Walker 44

[MycroftCZ]

CNN: ND-Sen
Heitkamp: 49%
Cramer: 45%

NUT

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

I mean if we're making up polls we may as well make up pollsters.

StormTV polling: SC-3

Geren (D): 48%
Duncan (R): 45%
Moore (A): 3%
Undecided: 4%


Also the gubernatorial race in SC-3
McMaster (R): 48%
Smith (D): 46%
Cheney (I): 1%
Undecided: 5%

183 Registered Voters, Oct 23-30

[ON Progressive]

You all ready for some PTSD?

WI-SEN
Baldwin 46
Vukmir 40

WI-GOV
Evers 45
Walker 44

I thought it was against the rules to post NSFL content like this.

[DINGO Joe]

NYT/Sienna poll of 500 members of migrant caravan 2020 preference

Trump 84%
Sanders 12%
McMullin 2%