MI-Mitchell: Whitmer +5

[The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow]

Safe D->Likely D, I guess.

2 polls in a row where Schuette is within the MOI

Let me be blunt here: neither James nor Schuette are going to win. Every single fundamental is working against them and every independent pollster has them ahead significantly. And no, “muh 2016” is not a good argument because Hillary Clinton was a terrible candidate running in a tepid environment for Democrats.

The democratic brand isn't much better now than 2016. You can't discount the big movement towards the GOP in the last 3 weeks. Polls could not be accurately measuring it.

Are you kidding me? Whitmer and Stabenow are the strongest possible candidates Michigan Dems have to offer. There was a clear contrast between Whitmer and Schuette in those debates and you’re an idiot if you think Schuette has anything on Whitmer.

Whitmer came across as a phony and I think the Granholm 2.0 thing is starting to resonate. People do not want their taxes raised. I think the poll numbers for her and Stabenow even the latest ones are still overinflated. I honestly think both races are within the MOE right now.

I can almost guarantee you that the Snyder brand is much more toxic than the Granholm brand (and rightfully so). I can't I understand why conservatives think that budget issues ten years ago are more present in the Michigan electorate's mind than the Flint water crisis and Snyder's terrible approvals.