2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread

[Hindsight was 2020]

Yougov dropped: FL-tied, AZ: Sinema 3+, IN: Braun 3+ https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/tight-contests-mark-critical-senate-races-cbs-news-battleground-tracker-poll/?__twitter_impression=true

[Hindsight was 2020]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1056698446139285505

Dems gained 1 point from last week.

Different poll this is -2 for dems

[Hindsight was 2020]

Harvard Institute of Politics Youth Poll, Oct. 3-17, 2003 young voters (18-29)

Total:

Trump Approve 26
Disapprove 68

GCB: D 55, R 37

Registered to vote?  Yes 71, No 23

Likelihood to vote:
   Definitely 40   (Among Democrats 54, among Republicans 43)
   Probably 15
   50-50 16
   Probably not 13
   Definitely not 12



Likely Voters (I think this is the "Definitely vote" group):

Trump Approve 25
Disapprove 72

GCB: D 66, R 32

Registered to vote?  Yes 96, No 2

The lack of youth spike in EV in places like Florida is concerning but we’ve had too many polls like these to dismiss youth enthusiasm going into the midterm. It’s very possible the Dems and youth vote are going to come out on ED

[Hindsight was 2020]

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1057229426277146624

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1057229892427964416?s=19

NUT

[Hindsight was 2020]

I can't wait 'til this is over so we can move on to pointless discussions about 2020.

It never ends

[Hindsight was 2020]

Where the F are all my quality GCB polls? CNN? FOX? Pew? ABC/WaPo? Quinnipiac? Where are all of you people?

Did someone say more Texas polls?

[Hindsight was 2020]

Where the F are all my quality GCB polls? CNN? FOX? Pew? ABC/WaPo? Quinnipiac? Where are all of you people?

Did someone say more Texas polls?

We should poll Texas again just to make sure.

Oh, and New York.

New York? We’ve got plenty of those. Now Florida that is a place I’m curious about

[Hindsight was 2020]

* Tosses a crumb to Antonio *

HarrisX, Oct. 28-Nov. 2, 5000 RV including 3167 LV

RV: D 44, R 37

LV: D 50, R 42 (last week: 49/42)

You now it’s amazing how despite all the noise and hot takes that the polls have been really consistent with a dem 7-9 point lead

[Hindsight was 2020]

Again the consistency of the CGB is amazing

[Hindsight was 2020]

It would be nice if it were somewhat higher than D+8. Hopefully we will get some other GCB live phone polls showing it higher. D+8 is too close for any real comfort.

No it isn’t. JC guys I get gerrymandering I’d bad but 8 is nowhere near the danger zone

[Hindsight was 2020]

I’m sorry but the “Dems in disarray” stuff needs to die. At this point it’s more likely there is a polling error underestimating the Dems and the dam breaks over a polling error resulting in the R’s holding

[Hindsight was 2020]

Are people really freaking out about a 1% decline at 538 and a +.03 R in the GCB average?

Well we needed some excuse to do one last “Dems in disarray” before Tuesday

[Hindsight was 2020]

Fuuny how in the Hofiod world “average Americans” are reactionary bigots like him

[Hindsight was 2020]

This thread is such a joke.

[Hindsight was 2020]

I know one is Missouri cause a guy from Marist was on Chuck Todd last Tuesday and mentioned they were working on a Missouri poll

[Hindsight was 2020]

Lol!

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1059252213153964032

My....god....the blue wave is dead. Trump has won

[Hindsight was 2020]

Gallup’s last CGB: D+11 https://mobile.twitter.com/williamjordann/status/1059812562517348352/photo/1

[Hindsight was 2020]

Gallup’s last CGB: D+11 https://mobile.twitter.com/williamjordann/status/1059812562517348352/photo/1

Nice!

A majority of respondents (50-44) believe Republicans are going to keep the House. This measure has always aligned with the actual result. Let's hope this year it aligns with delusion and fake news.

This number is probably skewed because of how freaked out and nihilistic Dems are right now