Reuters is a bad pollster, but it’s definitely not good news for Evers that he’s underperforming Baldwin by 12 points. Still a Toss-up.
I very much doubt Evers and Baldwin will be that far apart on Election Day. Again, I know my state pretty well and it's extremely polarized under Walker. I've been canvassing and have spoken to hundrends of Walker voters this cycle. Every last one of them is also voting for Vukmir. Every Baldwin supporter I know is also voting for Evers. I am a firm believer that Baldwin will coattail Evers in the end. People and pundits thought WI was going to split tickets between Hillary and Johnson because Feingold and Johnson ended up polling close, whereas Hillary held her modest lead over Trump. Baldwin is the Hillary of 2016 in polling, whereas Evers is the Feingold of 2016 in polling. This article is proof:
https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/blogs/wisconsin-voter/2016/11/03/top-races-show-signs-ticket-splitting/93262280/I honestly think this will be the case this year, with both Evers and Baldwin winning, but I'm going try my harest not to be complacent. This race could go either way, still.