WI Reuters/Ipsos/UVA: Evers +3 (user search)
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  WI Reuters/Ipsos/UVA: Evers +3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: WI Reuters/Ipsos/UVA: Evers +3  (Read 2470 times)
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« on: October 25, 2018, 10:33:21 AM »


Wouldn't be so sure... If this holds until election day we could be seeing a Ron Johnson situation again.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #1 on: October 25, 2018, 11:36:35 AM »


Wouldn't be so sure... If this holds until election day we could be seeing a Ron Johnson situation again.

I'm not denying that Walker could win, but is this really an apt comparison? Virtually no one outside of Atlas has been writing Walker off as dead (most pundits thought he was heavily favored until pretty recently), and most think this race is a Toss-Up. Also, given what's happened since 2016, I'm not inclined to think that undecided voters and Independents will break very heavily Republican. Again, he's definitely still in the race, but I don't see the parallel.

I'm moreso talking about the polls, which all have Evers ahead, rather than the "experts" and conventional wisdom. I think Evers is still favored because of the national environment, but that 12 point split between Baldwin and Walker in the latest poll should be concerning for Evers's chances.
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