WI Reuters/Ipsos/UVA: Evers +3
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  WI Reuters/Ipsos/UVA: Evers +3
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Author Topic: WI Reuters/Ipsos/UVA: Evers +3  (Read 2464 times)
Scottholes 2.0
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« Reply #25 on: October 25, 2018, 12:15:08 PM »

Like I said, I disagree. There is NO way Walker is surviving while Baldwin is leading by 12 points in such a polarized political environment and a very polarized state like WI.
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I Can Now Die Happy
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« Reply #26 on: October 25, 2018, 02:51:05 PM »

Like I said, I disagree. There is NO way Walker is surviving while Baldwin is leading by 12 points in such a polarized political environment and a very polarized state like WI.

True, but that's because Baldwin is not leading by 12 and could very well lose to Vukmir.
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Pollster
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« Reply #27 on: October 25, 2018, 03:15:59 PM »

Why has nobody acknowledged yet that only 8% of this sample are independents?
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Badger
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« Reply #28 on: October 25, 2018, 07:26:06 PM »


Not so fast, that's a statistical tie. I think Evers is favored, but not guaranteed to win.

"Inside the margin of error" statistical tie is not a thing.

Liberals:
Ignoring biology on gender
Ignoring math on statistics

Right-wingers:
Just generally f****** stupid
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Badger
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« Reply #29 on: October 25, 2018, 07:28:23 PM »

Throw it in the trash. Reuters is pretty much on par with Survey Monkey.

As I noted in another spread this evening, 5:38 gives them a B+ rating with a 0.6 in house democratic mean bias. How exactly do you base saying they're so crappy? Serious question.
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Badger
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« Reply #30 on: October 25, 2018, 07:29:50 PM »

#Below50 Evers is collapsing and everyone is quibbling over margin of error. Face it. Non-Baldwin Dems can no longer win statewide in Wisconsin. National Dems have figuratively spit on this state, beginning with their Neoliberal Goldwater-supporting queen Hillary.

So, now the most recent polls show Evers+3 (Here) and Walker+1 (Gold Standard Marquette).

I had to reread this several times before I realized that, astonishingly, you're actually serious about this post.

Yes, if only Wisconsin Democrats could only run meat and potatoes conservative tradition minded Democrats like Baldwin they would win all the time.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #31 on: October 25, 2018, 07:29:55 PM »

Throw it in the trash. Reuters is pretty much on par with Survey Monkey.
I've said it before, and I'll say it again: Survey Monkey was the ONLY poll to show a late surge for Eric Holcomb in the IN-GOV race while everyone else (including myself) said John Gregg was coasting to victory.
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Scottholes 2.0
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« Reply #32 on: October 25, 2018, 07:54:15 PM »
« Edited: October 25, 2018, 09:10:37 PM by BlueFlapjack »

I'll be less complacent if the next MU law poll gets released on October 31 shows Walker leading again or tied with Evers.
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cvparty
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« Reply #33 on: October 26, 2018, 03:21:20 PM »

the replies in this thread...woo lordt
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