Tester +9 in new Montana State University Billings Poll
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 12:28:44 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls
  Tester +9 in new Montana State University Billings Poll
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: Tester +9 in new Montana State University Billings Poll  (Read 1971 times)
gf20202
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 329
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 23, 2018, 05:53:35 PM »

http://www.msubillings.edu/urelations/releases/2018/2018Oct23Poll.htm

From the Press Release:
MSU BILLINGS NEWS—With the U.S. Senate race drawing national attention this election cycle, incumbent Democratic Sen. Jon Tester appears to be pulling away, according to the results of the 31st Montana Poll conducted by Montana State University Billings. Tester is leading Republican candidate Matt Rosendale by a nine-point margin (47 percent to 38 percent) with two weeks left until Election Day on Nov. 6. Three percent of respondents said they would vote for Libertarian candidate Rick Breckenridge, while 12 percent are undecided.
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2018, 05:57:00 PM »

I think Tester is ahead, but not by 9.
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,227
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2018, 05:57:22 PM »

College kids keeping busy in the Big Sky State, I see
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,284
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 23, 2018, 05:57:38 PM »

Anyone want to guess what that MSU Billings poll will show? My guess is Tester +9 or something like that.
Logged
Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,761


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 23, 2018, 05:58:32 PM »

Well, at least this should be more accurate than the poll that had Tester up 24.
Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,713


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 23, 2018, 05:58:54 PM »

HUGE SWING! Tester crashing!
Logged
OneJ
OneJ_
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,834
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 23, 2018, 05:59:27 PM »

MT-AL:
Gianforte - 44%
Williams - 41%

Daines Approval: 42%-29%

Bullock Approval: 46%-26%

Trump Approval: 49%-42% Surely this number is higher in favor of Trump, right?

Asked a lot of other interesting questions.
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,227
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 23, 2018, 06:01:07 PM »

Anyone want to guess what that MSU Billings poll will show? My guess is Tester +9 or something like that.

*applauds*
Logged
gf20202
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 329
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 23, 2018, 06:01:39 PM »

I guess they were decent on the final margin in 2012, although it was earlier in the month and with a seemingly high number of undecideds:

https://www.msubillings.edu/urelations/releases/2012/2012Oct11Poll-2.htm

And they skewed slightly dem in the 2016 governor and white house races:
http://www.msubillings.edu/cas/nams/polls/Montana_Poll_2016.pdf
Logged
Comrade Funk
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,136
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -5.91

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 23, 2018, 06:01:40 PM »

Logged
Beet
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,803


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 23, 2018, 06:07:34 PM »

Good news for Tester, but it's a Uni poll with a sample size under 500, and he's still below 50. I wouldn't put too much stock in it.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 23, 2018, 06:08:28 PM »

Wasn't the poll we just got yesterday which was Tester +3 also a Montana State University poll? I'm confused.
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,227
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 23, 2018, 06:10:56 PM »

Wasn't the poll we just got yesterday which was Tester +3 also a Montana State University poll? I'm confused.

I think it was a different MSU campus.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,284
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 23, 2018, 06:11:03 PM »

Wasn't the poll we just got yesterday which was Tester +3 also a Montana State University poll? I'm confused.

That was Bozeman, this is Billings lol.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,776
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 23, 2018, 06:12:29 PM »

Tester is safe
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 23, 2018, 06:15:32 PM »

Wasn't the poll we just got yesterday which was Tester +3 also a Montana State University poll? I'm confused.

That was Bozeman, this is Billings lol.

Oh, cool. Can we get Missoula tomorrow? Maybe they'll show Tester +6!

Actually, is there an MSU satellite campus in Garfield County? Maybe that could be the one to finally show ROSENdale ahead.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,284
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 23, 2018, 06:17:44 PM »

Wasn't the poll we just got yesterday which was Tester +3 also a Montana State University poll? I'm confused.

That was Bozeman, this is Billings lol.

Oh, cool. Can we get Missoula tomorrow? Maybe they'll show Tester +6!

Actually, is there an MSU satellite campus in Garfield County? Maybe that could be the one to finally show ROSENdale ahead.

Missoula was the Tester +24 poll lol.
Logged
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,681
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 23, 2018, 06:20:48 PM »


Not sure about that but he'll be fine!
Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,579
Venezuela


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 23, 2018, 06:24:47 PM »

Wasn't the poll we just got yesterday which was Tester +3 also a Montana State University poll? I'm confused.

That was Bozeman, this is Billings lol.

Oh, cool. Can we get Missoula tomorrow? Maybe they'll show Tester +6!

Actually, is there an MSU satellite campus in Garfield County? Maybe that could be the one to finally show ROSENdale ahead.

Missoula was the Tester +24 poll lol.

This is super confusing.

Anyway, I don't buy that Tester is up by that much, certainly not with that many undecideds.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 23, 2018, 06:27:14 PM »

Wasn't the poll we just got yesterday which was Tester +3 also a Montana State University poll? I'm confused.

That was Bozeman, this is Billings lol.

Oh, cool. Can we get Missoula tomorrow? Maybe they'll show Tester +6!

Actually, is there an MSU satellite campus in Garfield County? Maybe that could be the one to finally show ROSENdale ahead.

Missoula was the Tester +24 poll lol.

This is super confusing.

Hopefully we get one from every MSU campus before election day. Whichever comes closest to the actual result can get more pork barrel spending to fund their school from lovely #populist Purple heart Steve Bullock.
Logged
Comrade Funk
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,136
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -5.91

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 23, 2018, 06:28:12 PM »

This is why I love Atlas.
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,547
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 23, 2018, 06:30:44 PM »


Maybe it can be considered a crash from that 24 point poll.

In all seriousness, Tester may be favored, but he will not win by this much.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,284
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 23, 2018, 06:31:17 PM »

Anyway, I don't buy that Tester is up by that much, certainly not with that many undecideds.

Me neither, I think that Bozeman poll is an accurate reflection of where things stand: a small but consistent/stubborn advantage for Tester. Then again, this entire race is pretty much a meme at this point.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: October 23, 2018, 06:34:53 PM »

I think we edge this one out.
Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,579
Venezuela


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: October 23, 2018, 06:48:24 PM »

Anyway, I don't buy that Tester is up by that much, certainly not with that many undecideds.

Me neither, I think that Bozeman poll is an accurate reflection of where things stand: a small but consistent/stubborn advantage for Tester. Then again, this entire race is pretty much a meme at this point.

That it became a (lame) meme in Atlas doesn't mean it is one, tough.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.054 seconds with 13 queries.