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  Talk Elections
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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  Tester +9 in new Montana State University Billings Poll
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Author Topic: Tester +9 in new Montana State University Billings Poll  (Read 995 times)
gf20202
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« on: October 23, 2018, 05:53:35 pm »

http://www.msubillings.edu/urelations/releases/2018/2018Oct23Poll.htm

From the Press Release:
MSU BILLINGS NEWSóWith the U.S. Senate race drawing national attention this election cycle, incumbent Democratic Sen. Jon Tester appears to be pulling away, according to the results of the 31st Montana Poll conducted by Montana State University Billings. Tester is leading Republican candidate Matt Rosendale by a nine-point margin (47 percent to 38 percent) with two weeks left until Election Day on Nov. 6. Three percent of respondents said they would vote for Libertarian candidate Rick Breckenridge, while 12 percent are undecided.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2018, 05:57:00 pm »

I think Tester is ahead, but not by 9.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2018, 05:57:22 pm »

College kids keeping busy in the Big Sky State, I see
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #3 on: October 23, 2018, 05:57:38 pm »

Anyone want to guess what that MSU Billings poll will show? My guess is Tester +9 or something like that.
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Neither Holy Nor Roman 👁️
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« Reply #4 on: October 23, 2018, 05:58:32 pm »

Well, at least this should be more accurate than the poll that had Tester up 24.
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Dr. RI
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« Reply #5 on: October 23, 2018, 05:58:54 pm »

HUGE SWING! Tester crashing!
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OneJ
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« Reply #6 on: October 23, 2018, 05:59:27 pm »

MT-AL:
Gianforte - 44%
Williams - 41%

Daines Approval: 42%-29%

Bullock Approval: 46%-26%

Trump Approval: 49%-42% Surely this number is higher in favor of Trump, right?

Asked a lot of other interesting questions.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #7 on: October 23, 2018, 06:01:07 pm »

Anyone want to guess what that MSU Billings poll will show? My guess is Tester +9 or something like that.

*applauds*
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gf20202
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« Reply #8 on: October 23, 2018, 06:01:39 pm »

I guess they were decent on the final margin in 2012, although it was earlier in the month and with a seemingly high number of undecideds:

https://www.msubillings.edu/urelations/releases/2012/2012Oct11Poll-2.htm

And they skewed slightly dem in the 2016 governor and white house races:
http://www.msubillings.edu/cas/nams/polls/Montana_Poll_2016.pdf
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #9 on: October 23, 2018, 06:01:40 pm »

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Beet
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« Reply #10 on: October 23, 2018, 06:07:34 pm »

Good news for Tester, but it's a Uni poll with a sample size under 500, and he's still below 50. I wouldn't put too much stock in it.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #11 on: October 23, 2018, 06:08:28 pm »

Wasn't the poll we just got yesterday which was Tester +3 also a Montana State University poll? I'm confused.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #12 on: October 23, 2018, 06:10:56 pm »

Wasn't the poll we just got yesterday which was Tester +3 also a Montana State University poll? I'm confused.

I think it was a different MSU campus.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #13 on: October 23, 2018, 06:11:03 pm »

Wasn't the poll we just got yesterday which was Tester +3 also a Montana State University poll? I'm confused.

That was Bozeman, this is Billings lol.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #14 on: October 23, 2018, 06:12:29 pm »

Tester is safe
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IceSpear
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« Reply #15 on: October 23, 2018, 06:15:32 pm »

Wasn't the poll we just got yesterday which was Tester +3 also a Montana State University poll? I'm confused.

That was Bozeman, this is Billings lol.

Oh, cool. Can we get Missoula tomorrow? Maybe they'll show Tester +6!

Actually, is there an MSU satellite campus in Garfield County? Maybe that could be the one to finally show ROSENdale ahead.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #16 on: October 23, 2018, 06:17:44 pm »

Wasn't the poll we just got yesterday which was Tester +3 also a Montana State University poll? I'm confused.

That was Bozeman, this is Billings lol.

Oh, cool. Can we get Missoula tomorrow? Maybe they'll show Tester +6!

Actually, is there an MSU satellite campus in Garfield County? Maybe that could be the one to finally show ROSENdale ahead.

Missoula was the Tester +24 poll lol.
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10 minutes into Lysol, Tidepod, and chill..
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« Reply #17 on: October 23, 2018, 06:20:48 pm »


Not sure about that but he'll be fine!
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Skye
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« Reply #18 on: October 23, 2018, 06:24:47 pm »

Wasn't the poll we just got yesterday which was Tester +3 also a Montana State University poll? I'm confused.

That was Bozeman, this is Billings lol.

Oh, cool. Can we get Missoula tomorrow? Maybe they'll show Tester +6!

Actually, is there an MSU satellite campus in Garfield County? Maybe that could be the one to finally show ROSENdale ahead.

Missoula was the Tester +24 poll lol.

This is super confusing.

Anyway, I don't buy that Tester is up by that much, certainly not with that many undecideds.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #19 on: October 23, 2018, 06:27:14 pm »

Wasn't the poll we just got yesterday which was Tester +3 also a Montana State University poll? I'm confused.

That was Bozeman, this is Billings lol.

Oh, cool. Can we get Missoula tomorrow? Maybe they'll show Tester +6!

Actually, is there an MSU satellite campus in Garfield County? Maybe that could be the one to finally show ROSENdale ahead.

Missoula was the Tester +24 poll lol.

This is super confusing.

Hopefully we get one from every MSU campus before election day. Whichever comes closest to the actual result can get more pork barrel spending to fund their school from lovely #populist Purple heart Steve Bullock.
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #20 on: October 23, 2018, 06:28:12 pm »

This is why I love Atlas.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #21 on: October 23, 2018, 06:30:44 pm »


Maybe it can be considered a crash from that 24 point poll.

In all seriousness, Tester may be favored, but he will not win by this much.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #22 on: October 23, 2018, 06:31:17 pm »

Anyway, I don't buy that Tester is up by that much, certainly not with that many undecideds.

Me neither, I think that Bozeman poll is an accurate reflection of where things stand: a small but consistent/stubborn advantage for Tester. Then again, this entire race is pretty much a meme at this point.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #23 on: October 23, 2018, 06:34:53 pm »

I think we edge this one out.
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Skye
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« Reply #24 on: October 23, 2018, 06:48:24 pm »

Anyway, I don't buy that Tester is up by that much, certainly not with that many undecideds.

Me neither, I think that Bozeman poll is an accurate reflection of where things stand: a small but consistent/stubborn advantage for Tester. Then again, this entire race is pretty much a meme at this point.

That it became a (lame) meme in Atlas doesn't mean it is one, tough.
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