So a unknown polling firm coincidentally has the same name as a well-known GOP fundraiser.
Sounds legit.
Regardless, this race is still a toss-up at best for Donnelly and Braun could easily win. But I do think Donnelly wins in more scenarios than Braun does. My main reasoning on that is Indiana swung hard R with the Midwest in 2016, and seeing all of the hard D swings in PA/MI/MN/WI/OH/IA/IL/etc... I have a hard time believing that that swing will miss Indiana. The issue is just that Indiana is much more R than those states and thus it might not be enough to save Donnelly.
Good analysis. I think Donnelly is slightly favored as of today - but I think this race is a tossup
