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March 04, 2021, 08:30:35 AM

  Talk Elections
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  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  AR: Hendrix College/Talk Business: Hutchinson +36 (search mode)
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Author Topic: AR: Hendrix College/Talk Business: Hutchinson +36  (Read 934 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,939
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P
« on: October 22, 2018, 11:16:03 PM »

New Poll: Arkansas Governor by Hendrix College/Talk Business on 2018-10-19

Summary: D: 24%, R: 60%, I: 0%, U: 16%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,939
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P
« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2018, 12:59:48 AM »

Bill Clinton could have made this competitive /s

It's already competitive. Hutchinson is only leading by 36 points in a single poll which is not enough evidence to rate this safe R, Arkansas is hard to poll (just ask Sen. Pryor), and anything can happen in politics. In fact, I'm predicting Dems take this seat because polls are fake news and muh Dem wave.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,939
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P
« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2018, 02:56:34 PM »

I thought AR was still a Democratic state at heart, though?

Anyway, safest R race in the country.

Why?  Where has anyone said that any time remotely recently?

Well, I recall many people thinking Elliott County, KY would vote for Hillary because it was still "Democratic at heart", which is actually even worse considering it went for Trump by 44 points as opposed to Arkansas' 27 points.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,939
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P
« Reply #3 on: October 24, 2018, 09:38:29 AM »

I thought AR was still a Democratic state at heart, though?

Anyway, safest R race in the country.

Why?  Where has anyone said that any time remotely recently?

Well, I recall many people thinking Elliott County, KY would vote for Hillary because it was still "Democratic at heart", which is actually even worse considering it went for Trump by 44 points as opposed to Arkansas' 27 points.
That was a fairly sensible statement back in 2013. Obama carried it in 2012, and Clinton got 90% in the 2008 primary there. Before we knew the candidates, it would be sensible to expect her to run a more populist campaign than Obama and outperform in Appalachia.

It was being said in mid to late 2016, not just 2013 lol.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=240905.0
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