AR: Hendrix College/Talk Business: Hutchinson +36

[IceSpear]

New Poll: Arkansas Governor by Hendrix College/Talk Business on 2018-10-19

Summary: D: 24%, R: 60%, I: 0%, U: 16%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[CookieDamage]

Bill Clinton could have made this competitive /s

[IceSpear]

Bill Clinton could have made this competitive /s

It's already competitive. Hutchinson is only leading by 36 points in a single poll which is not enough evidence to rate this safe R, Arkansas is hard to poll (just ask Sen. Pryor), and anything can happen in politics. In fact, I'm predicting Dems take this seat because polls are fake news and muh Dem wave.

[Technocracy Timmy]

Arkansas only has 23 more presidential cycles before it breaks Vermont’s GOP streak. The GOP just need to solidify the trailer park vote for another 4 generations.

[mgop]

arkansas best knows what clinton did to a state. because of that dems are forever gone there.

[KingSweden]

Looks about right

[MT Treasurer]

I thought AR was still a Democratic state at heart, though?

Anyway, safest R race in the country.

[RINO Tom]

I thought AR was still a Democratic state at heart, though?

Anyway, safest R race in the country.

Why?  Where has anyone said that any time remotely recently?

[Alabama_Indy10]

Nothing to see here.

[IceSpear]

I thought AR was still a Democratic state at heart, though?

Anyway, safest R race in the country.

Why?  Where has anyone said that any time remotely recently?

Well, I recall many people thinking Elliott County, KY would vote for Hillary because it was still "Democratic at heart", which is actually even worse considering it went for Trump by 44 points as opposed to Arkansas' 27 points.

[Arkansas Yankee]

Bill Clinton could have made this competitive /s

Like Hillary did.  Arkansas as moved on from the Clintons.

[Teflon Joe.]

Bill Clinton could have made this competitive /s

It's already competitive. Hutchinson is only leading by 36 points in a single poll which is not enough evidence to rate this safe R, Arkansas is hard to poll (just ask Sen. Pryor), and anything can happen in politics. In fact, I'm predicting Dems take this seat because polls are fake news and muh Dem wave.

Hutchinson's margin is under 40. Not good!

[America Needs Jesus Christ]

Does Arkansas still have a reverse age gap?  The article noted that Hutchinson was leading with all age groups but was doing "particularly well with voters under 30".

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

I thought AR was still a Democratic state at heart, though?

Anyway, safest R race in the country.

Why?  Where has anyone said that any time remotely recently?

Well, I recall many people thinking Elliott County, KY would vote for Hillary because it was still "Democratic at heart", which is actually even worse considering it went for Trump by 44 points as opposed to Arkansas' 27 points.

That was a fairly sensible statement back in 2013. Obama carried it in 2012, and Clinton got 90% in the 2008 primary there. Before we knew the candidates, it would be sensible to expect her to run a more populist campaign than Obama and outperform in Appalachia.

[Lincoln Speaker Dwarven Dragon]

Yep. It's practically illegal to vote for a Democrat in Arkansas.

[Beet]

Yep. It's practically illegal to vote for a Democrat in Arkansas.

And yet as recently as 2014 mainstream pundits were saying Mark Pryor would likely survive.

[RoboWop]

Yep. It's practically illegal to vote for a Democrat in Arkansas.

And yet as recently as 2014 mainstream pundits were saying Mark Pryor would likely survive.

He did get 79%. Clearly Safe D.

[IceSpear]

I thought AR was still a Democratic state at heart, though?

Anyway, safest R race in the country.

Why?  Where has anyone said that any time remotely recently?

Well, I recall many people thinking Elliott County, KY would vote for Hillary because it was still "Democratic at heart", which is actually even worse considering it went for Trump by 44 points as opposed to Arkansas' 27 points.

That was a fairly sensible statement back in 2013. Obama carried it in 2012, and Clinton got 90% in the 2008 primary there. Before we knew the candidates, it would be sensible to expect her to run a more populist campaign than Obama and outperform in Appalachia.

It was being said in mid to late 2016, not just 2013 lol.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=240905.0

[MT Treasurer]

I thought AR was still a Democratic state at heart, though?

Anyway, safest R race in the country.

Why?  Where has anyone said that any time remotely recently?

Well, I recall many people thinking Elliott County, KY would vote for Hillary because it was still "Democratic at heart", which is actually even worse considering it went for Trump by 44 points as opposed to Arkansas' 27 points.

That was a fairly sensible statement back in 2013. Obama carried it in 2012, and Clinton got 90% in the 2008 primary there. Before we knew the candidates, it would be sensible to expect her to run a more populist campaign than Obama and outperform in Appalachia.

It was being said in mid to late 2016, not just 2013 lol.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=240905.0

This thread is just sad.