MN-Star Tribune/Mason Dixon: Klobuchar+23, Smith+6
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 29, 2024, 02:55:44 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls
  MN-Star Tribune/Mason Dixon: Klobuchar+23, Smith+6
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: MN-Star Tribune/Mason Dixon: Klobuchar+23, Smith+6  (Read 2185 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 19, 2018, 03:03:36 PM »

56% Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D)
33% Jim Newberger (R)

47% Sen. Tina Smith (D)
41% Karin Housley (R)

The telephone poll of 800 likely voters was conducted Oct. 15-17 and has an error margin of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

http://www.startribune.com/sen-amy-klobuchar-has-a-big-lead-sen-tina-smith-ahead-but-by-much-less/498048621
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 19, 2018, 03:05:33 PM »

Meanwhile, Newt Gingrich has an internal poll that claims Housley is within 3 points:

Logged
Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,506
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.06, S: 5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 19, 2018, 03:07:02 PM »

MN-SP and NJ are the only two upset opportunities I see (unless you count TX).
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 19, 2018, 03:07:32 PM »

The link doesn't work.
Logged
Beet
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,914


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 19, 2018, 03:08:37 PM »

I have this WI-Sen, NJ-Sen and MN-Special this on my list of "sleeper races."
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 19, 2018, 03:09:58 PM »


I think there was a time embargo and they deleted it again.

It will likely be posted later again and it's still on Google.
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 19, 2018, 03:10:03 PM »

I have this WI-Sen, NJ-Sen and MN-Special this on my list of "sleeper races."

It's not a sleeper race when it's Safe D, like all those races are.
Logged
DaWN
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,370
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 19, 2018, 03:10:38 PM »

I'm finding it really difficult to believe that Smith will under perform Klobuchar by 17 points
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,276
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 19, 2018, 03:10:38 PM »

Likely D, but I think Republicans are well-positioned to pick up MN-01 and MN-08 if Smith wins by an underwhelming margin.

GOV numbers?
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,518


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 19, 2018, 03:13:31 PM »

2016 all over again. There will be some surprise Seats who will come late to the Battleground Map just like Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin were in the POTUS Race two years ago. Minnesota Special is one and the Menendez/Hugin Race in NJ is the other.

Are I am surprised that the Smith/Housley Race is closing up? No. Appointed Senators trend to struggle in their 1st Election see Hyde-Smith this year or Michael Bennet in CO 2010.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,280
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 19, 2018, 03:21:39 PM »

MN-Special is Safe D. The end.
Logged
Jags
Rookie
**
Posts: 174


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 19, 2018, 03:32:00 PM »

Housley recently got exposed for old facebook messages that are really awful about the Obamas and Clinton. I have a real hard time seeing how she comes within 6 points, my guess is she loses by 10+.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,997
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 19, 2018, 03:35:19 PM »

Housley recently got exposed for old facebook messages that are really awful about the Obamas and Clinton. I have a real hard time seeing how she comes within 6 points, my guess is she loses by 10+.

Yeah, especially with Klobuchar on the same ballot.
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,157
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 19, 2018, 07:54:06 PM »

MN-SP and NJ are the only two upset opportunities I see (unless you count TX).

Hahaha! No.
Logged
Scottholes 2.0
Wisconsinite
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 905
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 19, 2018, 08:48:24 PM »

MN is a blue state in a BLUE WAVE year. There is no way Minnesota will lose one of its Democrat-held senate seats in a year like this!
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 20, 2018, 07:12:09 AM »

The link says page not found, and I can't find anything about this poll from googling around.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 20, 2018, 07:38:12 AM »

The link says page not found, and I can't find anything about this poll from googling around.

Yesterday, it was briefly around on Google for about an hour - but it never showed up on the Star Tribune page somehow.

Maybe they deleted it, because the Star Tribune posted it too early (Sunday release) ? Or maybe there was an error in the poll and they deleted it ? Let's see if they post it tomorrow ...
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,906
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 20, 2018, 09:13:51 AM »

Honestly, I don't buy it that Tina Smith is underperforming Klobuchar this much. The undecideds who say they vote for Klobuchar will all break for Smith in the end.
Logged
TheRocketRaccoon
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 761
Singapore


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 22, 2018, 07:48:15 AM »

Embargo lifted

http://www.startribune.com/sen-amy-klobuchar-has-a-big-lead-sen-tina-smith-ahead-but-by-much-less/498048621/
Logged
Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,134
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 22, 2018, 06:07:18 PM »

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

I didn't know my name was 'no one'. LOL. I called the flip. We shall see how it comes out.
Logged
scutosaurus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,664
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 22, 2018, 06:08:30 PM »

Logged
Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,134
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 22, 2018, 06:16:40 PM »

Then I suppose Texas which is R+7 is 'safe' too, no? Wink
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 22, 2018, 08:25:33 PM »

Then I suppose Texas which is R+7 is 'safe' too, no? Wink

Yes, unironically.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.241 seconds with 13 queries.