MT: MTN-MSU: Tester +3 (user search)
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  MT: MTN-MSU: Tester +3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MT: MTN-MSU: Tester +3  (Read 4695 times)
KingSweden
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« on: October 22, 2018, 09:03:21 PM »

College poll with decimals from several weeks ago.

*sigh*

Realllllly wish we could get someone else to come in here so we don’t have to settle for this or that farcical Tester +24
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KingSweden
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« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2018, 09:19:10 PM »

College poll with decimals from several weeks ago.

*sigh*

Realllllly wish we could get someone else to come in here so we don’t have to settle for this or that farcical Tester +24

It would actually be really funny if the election actually did end up being around that margin...

The thing is, I think the margin looks within reason.

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...what? As in, they sent polls to people's houses? Am I missing something?

That... doesn’t strike me as best practice
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KingSweden
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« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2018, 09:33:05 PM »

That fat fingerless f*** needs to go down. #SendTrumpReinforcements

I have this taint-waffle on ignore, so I can’t report him, but this kind of BS warrants an infraction.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #3 on: October 22, 2018, 09:51:19 PM »

This Graphic though seems odd to me

Tester ahead with older Voters especially those 65+ is a little bit suspicious.

Nah, that’s actually believable in a state like Montana, and keep in mind that it’s not a particularly large lead anyway. The crosstabs look fine, and so does the topline/margin. It’s probably the best snapshot we’re going to get of this race before election day.

Anyone want to guess what their MT-AL poll will show? I’ll say Gianforte +3.5 Tongue

Yeah Grapplin’ Greg up by 2 or 3 sounds reasonable
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KingSweden
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« Reply #4 on: October 22, 2018, 10:06:06 PM »

Anyways pure tossup but gove the narrowest edge to Tester. I will also take the unpopular position that he is in better shape for reelection than Manchin.

Thank you for bearing that cross on behalf of the rest of us
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KingSweden
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Posts: 11,227
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« Reply #5 on: October 23, 2018, 08:40:08 AM »

College poll with decimals from several weeks ago.

*sigh*

Realllllly wish we could get someone else to come in here so we don’t have to settle for this or that farcical Tester +24

It would actually be really funny if the election actually did end up being around that margin...

The thing is, I think the margin looks within reason.

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

...what? As in, they sent polls to people's houses? Am I missing something?

That... doesn’t strike me as best practice
Some of these colleges still do that mail ballot thing (there was one in PA that did as well in 2016 IIRC). Problem is there's a dearth of polling in a state like Montana to get a good idea of where the race is at this point other than to assume that it's basically a tossup.

Does MT have restrictions on polling like IN and ND do, or are people just not that interested in it as a state?
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