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January 21, 2021, 05:58:49 PM
Talk Elections
Election Archive
Election Archive
2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls
(Moderator:
Brittain33
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FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
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Topic: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7 (Read 2097 times)
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Moderators
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 6,144
Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
«
on:
October 22, 2018, 05:37:45 PM »
Andrew Gillum (D) 49
Ron DeSantis (R) 42
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=cfbb4f43-54d4-4d79-b06f-5bfd01c72a34
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
Posts: 24,949
Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
«
Reply #1 on:
October 22, 2018, 05:43:05 PM »
First time Nelson has out performed Gillum.
Logged
2016
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,373
Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
«
Reply #2 on:
October 22, 2018, 05:47:13 PM »
Another Poll scewed towards the Democrats....
Party ID
Democrat 42
Republican 37
Independent 17
Of Course if you're screening a D +5 Electorate you get Nelson + 8 and Gillum + 7.
These Pollsters really have completely lost.
WE WILL NOT HAVE A D + 5 ELECTORATE IN FLORIDA IN A MIDTERM ELECTION - PERIOD.
Logged
Panda Express
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,561
Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
«
Reply #3 on:
October 22, 2018, 05:47:31 PM »
Looks like DeSantis really monkeyed his campaign up
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Star
Posts: 23,535
Political Matrix
E: -6.26, S: -4.96
Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
«
Reply #4 on:
October 22, 2018, 05:48:56 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 22, 2018, 05:43:05 PM
First time Nelson has out performed Gillum.
And it's still a great poll for Gillum. Probably a bit exaggerated, but Florida going Democratic in a good year for Democrats isn't exactly revolutionary.
Logged
MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
Atlas Legend
Posts: 46,761
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
«
Reply #5 on:
October 22, 2018, 05:50:25 PM »
But, Bagel has it Lean R
Logged
The Daily Beagle
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Star
Posts: 26,140
Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
«
Reply #6 on:
October 22, 2018, 05:50:43 PM »
Quote from: Xing on October 22, 2018, 05:48:56 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 22, 2018, 05:43:05 PM
First time Nelson has out performed Gillum.
And it's still a great poll for Gillum. Probably a bit exaggerated, but Florida going Democratic in a good year for Democrats isn't exactly revolutionary.
This is like their first election since like 1990 that the FDL is unambiguously in the driver seat.
Logged
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 7,419
Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
«
Reply #7 on:
October 22, 2018, 06:32:39 PM »
Quote from: 2016 on October 22, 2018, 05:47:13 PM
Another Poll scewed towards the Democrats....
Party ID
Democrat 42
Republican 37
Independent 17
Of Course if you're screening a D +5 Electorate you get Nelson + 8 and Gillum + 7.
These Pollsters really have completely lost.
WE WILL NOT HAVE A D + 5 ELECTORATE IN FLORIDA IN A MIDTERM ELECTION - PERIOD.
ok, lets say its even. gillum still leads by 2 and nelson by 3
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
Posts: 11,252
Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
«
Reply #8 on:
October 22, 2018, 06:35:44 PM »
Quote from: 2016 on October 22, 2018, 05:47:13 PM
Another Poll scewed towards the Democrats....
Party ID
Democrat 42
Republican 37
Independent 17
Of Course if you're screening a D +5 Electorate you get Nelson + 8 and Gillum + 7.
These Pollsters really have completely lost.
WE WILL NOT HAVE A D + 5 ELECTORATE IN FLORIDA IN A MIDTERM ELECTION - PERIOD.
Dunno how to embed this but this is me when I read this:
https://giphy.com/gifs/people-hd-gifsremastered-10Jpr9KSaXLchW
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Star
Posts: 20,275
Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
«
Reply #9 on:
October 22, 2018, 07:27:02 PM »
Quote from: Vox Populi on October 22, 2018, 05:47:31 PM
Looks like DeSantis really monkeyed his campaign up
Clever. By the way, I never thought that joke would end up harming his campaign, and perhaps it didn't. But that should have been a sign that DeSantis was truly the awful candidate that he has turned out to be.
Logged
Virginiá
Virginia
Administrator
Atlas Icon
Posts: 16,360
Political Matrix
E: -6.97, S: -5.91
Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
«
Reply #10 on:
October 22, 2018, 08:11:21 PM »
Quote from: KingSweden on October 22, 2018, 06:35:44 PM
Dunno how to embed this but this is me when I read this:
https://giphy.com/gifs/people-hd-gifsremastered-10Jpr9KSaXLchW
I'll tell you what, it's nice to be on the side that isn't constantly having to rationalize bad polls in the run-up to the election. It's been a long time coming
^ That gif is the greatest thing ever
Quote from: 2016 on October 22, 2018, 05:47:13 PM
Another Poll scewed towards the Democrats....
Party ID
Democrat 42
Republican 37
Independent 17
Of Course if you're screening a D +5 Electorate you get Nelson + 8 and Gillum + 7.
These Pollsters really have completely lost.
WE WILL NOT HAVE A D + 5 ELECTORATE IN FLORIDA IN A MIDTERM ELECTION - PERIOD.
Trying to unskew all these polls is a fool's errand. Take it from Democrats (and Republicans) who vigorously unskewed polls only to get egg on their faces over the past 10 years. Just throw the poll into the average and it usually works itself out.
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
Posts: 11,252
Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
«
Reply #11 on:
October 22, 2018, 10:05:02 PM »
Quote from: Virginiá on October 22, 2018, 08:11:21 PM
Quote from: KingSweden on October 22, 2018, 06:35:44 PM
Dunno how to embed this but this is me when I read this:
https://giphy.com/gifs/people-hd-gifsremastered-10Jpr9KSaXLchW
I'll tell you what, it's nice to be on the side that isn't constantly having to rationalize bad polls in the run-up to the election. It's been a long time coming
^ That gif is the greatest thing ever
Quote from: 2016 on October 22, 2018, 05:47:13 PM
Another Poll scewed towards the Democrats....
Party ID
Democrat 42
Republican 37
Independent 17
Of Course if you're screening a D +5 Electorate you get Nelson + 8 and Gillum + 7.
These Pollsters really have completely lost.
WE WILL NOT HAVE A D + 5 ELECTORATE IN FLORIDA IN A MIDTERM ELECTION - PERIOD.
Trying to unskew all these polls is a fool's errand. Take it from Democrats (and Republicans) who vigorously unskewed polls only to get egg on their faces over the past 10 years. Just throw the poll into the average and it usually works itself out.
If my time on Atlas leaves only Nuclear Elmo and Nodding Nicholson as memes it’s still a success
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
Posts: 13,246
Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
«
Reply #12 on:
November 30, 2018, 07:50:04 PM »
Quote from: Cory Booker on October 22, 2018, 05:50:25 PM
But, Bagel has it Lean R
Oh did I Cory?
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
Posts: 13,246
Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
«
Reply #13 on:
November 30, 2018, 08:00:40 PM »
Looks like I guessed every seat right on my atlas governor map except Kansas.
Looks like on the atlas governor map that Cory guessed he got Kansas, Alaska, Georgia, Florida, Ohio, Iowa, South Dakota, and New Hampshire wrong.
Thanks for playing.
Ps. feel free to hit me back for my house prediction which I admit was completely awful.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
Posts: 13,246
Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
«
Reply #14 on:
November 30, 2018, 08:08:40 PM »
So I got 35/36 gov seats right on my official atlas map while Cory got 28/36.
Logged
MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
Atlas Legend
Posts: 46,761
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
«
Reply #15 on:
November 30, 2018, 08:27:10 PM »
Politician played politics with his predictions, and so did Solid. They vanished since the election and won't admit their mistakes.
Too many like us followed him
Logged
RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
YaBB God
Posts: 3,561
Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26
Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
«
Reply #16 on:
November 30, 2018, 08:44:17 PM »
I look back at these polls and weep....
Logged
Mr.Phips
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 6,756
Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
«
Reply #17 on:
November 30, 2018, 09:22:59 PM »
Never again will I trust a Florida poll that shows a Democrat leading. Never again.
Logged
RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
YaBB God
Posts: 3,561
Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26
Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
«
Reply #18 on:
November 30, 2018, 11:01:02 PM »
Quote from: Mr.Phips on November 30, 2018, 09:22:59 PM
Never again will I trust a Florida poll that shows a Democrat leading. Never again.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 31,943
Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43
Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
«
Reply #19 on:
December 01, 2018, 12:04:35 AM »
Quote from: Cory Booker on November 30, 2018, 08:27:10 PM
Politician played politics with his predictions, and so did Solid. They vanished since the election and won't admit their mistakes.
Too many like us followed him
lol
Logged
MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
Atlas Legend
Posts: 46,761
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
«
Reply #20 on:
December 01, 2018, 12:46:31 AM »
Where are they? They both said Cordray and Gillum winning and Solid still had Garcia winning
Logged
Beet
Atlas Star
Posts: 27,038
Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
«
Reply #21 on:
December 01, 2018, 01:45:06 AM »
This poll was taken before Hamiltongate, you know the one that most of the Forum called me a troll for saying would cost Gillum the race.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 31,943
Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43
Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
«
Reply #22 on:
December 01, 2018, 03:22:34 AM »
Quote from: Beet on December 01, 2018, 01:45:06 AM
This poll was taken before Hamiltongate, you know the one that most of the Forum called me a troll for saying would cost Gillum the race.
You also said Republicans would win the House in a landslide like the day before that.
Logged
Beet
Atlas Star
Posts: 27,038
Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
«
Reply #23 on:
December 04, 2018, 12:02:33 AM »
Quote from: IceSpear on December 01, 2018, 03:22:34 AM
Quote from: Beet on December 01, 2018, 01:45:06 AM
This poll was taken before Hamiltongate, you know the one that most of the Forum called me a troll for saying would cost Gillum the race.
You also said Republicans would win the House in a landslide like the day before that.
The Republicans were headed towards a red wave on the day I decided to stop posting about the midterms. It abruptly reverse on the day I left. See, the more I obsess over politics, the more everything I care about goes to hell in it.
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