IN SUSA: Donnelly +1

[TheRocketRaccoon]

http://www.news-sentinel.com/news/local-news/2018/10/22/donnelly-braun-neck-and-neck-in-race-for-u-s-senate-new-poll-suggests/

Donnelly 41
Braun 40
Brenton 8

This poll is weird.

'Of the 1,400 people surveyed, 1,048 were registered to vote and 816 were considered likely to vote.'

Where is the RV/LV screen then???

[ON Progressive]

It's also an online-only poll because of Indiana polling laws.

[Xing]

Believable top line, but one concern:

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[Skye]

Since when does SUSA uses online-only polls? They're usually good. I guess it has something to do with IN's strange polling laws.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Tilt R

[IceSpear]

But Nate Silver's junk model told me that Heitkamp was much more likely to win than Braun because she's an INCUMBENT running in a small state with retail politics and such.

[2016]

Look at this Story

https://edition.cnn.com/2018/10/19/politics/donnelly-braun-indiana-senate-race/index.html

Over the last week or so Braun is hammering Donnelly on outsourcing and his ties to his brothers firm.

[Seriously?]

Indiana's laws I think. Part of the reason we don't get as many Indiana polls. It has something to with robocalls.

Since when does SUSA uses online-only polls? They're usually good. I guess it has something to do with IN's strange polling laws.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Why do pollsters think we're stupid enough to actually buy that 19% of the electorate is still undecided/third party this late in the game?

[MT Treasurer]

Yeah, the high number of undecideds means there’s still a lot of uncertainty in this race. Donnelly could win, but he’s by no means safe, especially since Trump is still relatively popular in the state. This definitely flips before FL or NV and probably after ND and MO.