FL CNN/SSRS: Nelson +5 (user search)
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  FL CNN/SSRS: Nelson +5 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL CNN/SSRS: Nelson +5  (Read 4728 times)
DataGuy
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« on: October 21, 2018, 01:16:44 PM »

Strangely, or perhaps not, my model keeps wanting to predict ridiculously high voter turnout in Florida. It's significantly higher than 538's expected 52% turnout. Although I might have to take Michael into account, I suppose it does make some sense. Turnout was 51% in 2014, and that was a terrible year for turnout on a national scale. Since this year is expected to feature much higher turnout nationwide, the same thing might happen in Florida, especially since there's a competitive Senate race happening.
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DataGuy
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Posts: 217


« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2018, 01:37:42 PM »


https://mobile.twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1030887840622764033

Just replace 25% with 35%.
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