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  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  FL CNN/SSRS: Nelson +5 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: FL CNN/SSRS: Nelson +5  (Read 2599 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 742
Singapore


« on: October 21, 2018, 09:20:28 am »

http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2018/images/10/21/rel1_fl.pdf

Nelson 50
Scott 45
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TheRocketRaccoon
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 742
Singapore


« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2018, 09:25:37 am »

What happened to the Hurricane Michael bump?

(It wasn't actually a thing)
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TheRocketRaccoon
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 742
Singapore


« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2018, 10:23:27 am »

This poll is obviously garbage. They rushed this right after the hurricane. This explains Nelson's unrealistic lead in this poll, because right now the panhandle is in turmoil. And the inhabitants there have more bigger problems than the senate race. Infact, this poll is pretty bad for Nelson. With the panhandle being mostly underpolled, he should be leading by 10+ They published this poll to mislead people in to believing that Scott never really had a hurricane bump to begin with. When we get closer to election day, with the panhandle recovering we will see a surge for Scott in the polls.

lol
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TheRocketRaccoon
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 742
Singapore


« Reply #3 on: October 22, 2018, 03:45:35 am »

Also, watch all the people who are dismissing this as junk take the Scott+2 one at face value and vice versa.

These polls were taken at the same time, both pollsters seem well-rated by 538 and have about the same sample size. Averaging them together is the only non-hackish thing to do.
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