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  Talk Elections
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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  NV-PPP: Rosen +2
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Author Topic: NV-PPP: Rosen +2  (Read 2268 times)
Make PA Blue Again!
PittsburghSteel
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« on: October 19, 2018, 11:27:18 am »

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adrac
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« Reply #1 on: October 19, 2018, 11:29:32 am »

PPP, please poll more.
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Daines' Bipartisan Bills™
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« Reply #2 on: October 19, 2018, 11:29:57 am »

More like PPP (D), right? Especially since people are so adamant about Remington being a GOP pollster.

Looks right, though. Rosen +2-3 is my current prediction.
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Skye
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« Reply #3 on: October 19, 2018, 11:32:01 am »

Well it's conducted for a D Pac, so it's a partisan poll alright. Still, the numbers look right, though that doesn't necessarily mean the poll is good.
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Chocolate Thunder
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« Reply #4 on: October 19, 2018, 11:42:27 am »

PPP is a very good pollster. Its like saying Fox News is a bad internal.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #5 on: October 19, 2018, 12:20:58 pm »

PPP is a very good pollster. Its like saying Fox News is a bad internal.

Yeah I don't get why PPP gets a bad rep. Most of their polls are pretty close.
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Neither Holy Nor Roman 👁️
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« Reply #6 on: October 19, 2018, 12:35:08 pm »

They must have forgotten that Dean Heller is the INCUMBENT and has INCUMBENT ADVANTAGE.

Toss it, re-poll and be sure to remind the respondents that Dean Heller is the INCUMBENT this time, lest they forget.
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Cosmopolitanism Will Win
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« Reply #7 on: October 19, 2018, 01:10:36 pm »

PPP is a very good pollster. Its like saying Fox News is a bad internal.

A poll is an internal based on what candidate or group commissioned it. The quality of the pollster is not the issue.

Still, given past results, Nevada is the one State where I'm tempted to trust Dem internals over mainstream polls.
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Dark Horse
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« Reply #8 on: October 19, 2018, 01:46:11 pm »

Toss up, but if I had to pick, Heller would win.
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UWS
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« Reply #9 on: October 19, 2018, 01:48:06 pm »

Toss up, but if I had to pick, Heller would win.
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Xing
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« Reply #10 on: October 19, 2018, 01:51:50 pm »

fake nooz, nv polls always underestimate reps, am i rite guyz?
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Chocolate Thunder
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« Reply #11 on: October 19, 2018, 01:55:25 pm »

fake nooz, nv polls always underestimate reps, am i rite guyz?

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DavidB.
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« Reply #12 on: October 19, 2018, 01:57:49 pm »

PPP is a fine pollster and this seems about right. I think Rosen will ultimately win by more than 2, though.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #13 on: October 19, 2018, 01:59:14 pm »

PPP is a fine pollster and this seems about right. I think Rosen will ultimately win by more than 2, though.

I think she wins by around 4
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DavidB.
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« Reply #14 on: October 19, 2018, 01:59:45 pm »

PPP is a fine pollster and this seems about right. I think Rosen will ultimately win by more than 2, though.
I think she wins by around 4
That would be my guess as well.
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Chocolate Thunder
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« Reply #15 on: October 19, 2018, 02:04:11 pm »

PPP is a fine pollster and this seems about right. I think Rosen will ultimately win by more than 2, though.

I think she wins by around 4

This feels more like CCM than Hillary, though.
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UWS
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« Reply #16 on: October 19, 2018, 02:17:34 pm »

The senate debate between Heller and Rosen takes place tonight btw.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #17 on: October 19, 2018, 02:19:31 pm »


Heller voted for Kavanaugh in a Latino state, just like Scott is a GOPer supporting Kavanaugh. Latinos are against Kavanaugh on immigration issues
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UWS
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« Reply #18 on: October 19, 2018, 02:24:22 pm »


Heller voted for Kavanaugh in a Latino state, just like Scott is a GOPer supporting Kavanaugh. Latinos are against Kavanaugh on immigration issues

Actually in the most recent poll, Scott is leading by 12 percentage points among Florida Hispanics.

http://stpetepolls.org/files/StPetePolls_2018_State_GEN_GovSenate_October16_H72F.pdf
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #19 on: October 19, 2018, 02:34:51 pm »

I think we are now entering the period of the wave election season, where Democrats start gaining across the board until election day.

Time for Republicans to get their swimsuits ready ...
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #20 on: October 19, 2018, 02:41:45 pm »


Heller voted for Kavanaugh in a Latino state, just like Scott is a GOPer supporting Kavanaugh. Latinos are against Kavanaugh on immigration issues

Actually in the most recent poll, Scott is leading by 12 percentage points among Florida Hispanics.

http://stpetepolls.org/files/StPetePolls_2018_State_GEN_GovSenate_October16_H72F.pdf


But, DeSantis is losing by 8 points against Gillum
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DavidB.
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« Reply #21 on: October 19, 2018, 02:47:30 pm »

I think we are now entering the period of the wave election season, where Democrats start gaining across the board until election day.
Keep dreaming. There will be no wave. It's going to be an ordinary midterm in which the governing party will lose some seats in the House. Trump isn't uniquely unpopular, it's just that America is uniquely polarized and the media are uniquely and uniformly opposed to him.

And in any case I fail to see how a Rosen +2 poll would indicate a "wave" in a race that was always a tossup or lean D in a state that was won by Hillary by more than 2.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #22 on: October 19, 2018, 02:51:14 pm »

I think we are now entering the period of the wave election season, where Democrats start gaining across the board until election day.
Keep dreaming. There will be no wave. It's going to be an ordinary midterm in which the governing party will lose some seats in the House. Trump isn't uniquely unpopular, it's just that America is uniquely polarized and the media are uniquely and uniformly opposed to him.

And in any case I fail to see how a Rosen +2 poll would indicate a "wave" in a race that was always a tossup or lean D in a state that was won by Hillary by more than 2.

... lose "some" seats.

LOL.

I've been around in 2006 and the polls so far are very similar to 2006 at this point.

Rs should be afraid.
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #23 on: October 19, 2018, 02:52:18 pm »

I think we are now entering the period of the wave election season, where Democrats start gaining across the board until election day.
Keep dreaming. There will be no wave. It's going to be an ordinary midterm in which the governing party will lose some seats in the House. Trump isn't uniquely unpopular, it's just that America is uniquely polarized and the media are uniquely and uniformly opposed to him.

And in any case I fail to see how a Rosen +2 poll would indicate a "wave" in a race that was always a tossup or lean D in a state that was won by Hillary by more than 2.

I couldn’t focus on anything here except “Trump isn’t uniquely unpopular”

You ever seen a President with an economy this good, and favorables around 38-42
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DavidB.
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« Reply #24 on: October 19, 2018, 02:53:54 pm »

You ever seen a President with an economy this good, and favorables around 38-42
If not for the fake news media, Trump's approvals would be much higher.
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