NJ-Quinnipiac: Menendez +7 (user search)
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  NJ-Quinnipiac: Menendez +7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NJ-Quinnipiac: Menendez +7  (Read 2064 times)
Overturn Dobbs
Beet
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Posts: 28,070


« on: October 17, 2018, 12:21:08 PM »

No, I'm going to say that Menendez is more vulnerable than he looks, and could easily lose. (So could Ted Cruz.)
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Overturn Dobbs
Beet
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,070


« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2018, 03:38:51 PM »

Safe D race is Safe D. Even if the red wave is real, Menendez will win.
Your Jersey tease is the same as your Texas tease and your Tennessee tease. It happens every cycle.

OMG NJ is close!! Competitive even!!! Then reality sets in and the Dems win by at least 10. The only time Jersey can swing Republican is if the Democrat is a crook, but I doubt this seat is changing hands although Menendez is a complete scumbag. Perhaps it's a 5-10 point win instead of a 15-20 point one at the end of the day.

Well the difference is that there's no one defending Menendez. There are plenty of people who defend Cruz, and some who will defend a vote for Blackburn, but I don't see many people say, "Yeah, Menendez is a great guy, OR 'yeah, Menendez sucks but here's why you should vote for him."

Basically the best argument for him is that he's a D and NJ is D and the Senate is on the line in a Trump midterm. That barebones argument will get him to something like 45% in a state like New Jersey, but where's the other 5% going to come from?
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