AZ NYT/Siena: McSally +4 (poll is incomplete) (user search)
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  AZ NYT/Siena: McSally +4 (poll is incomplete) (search mode)
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Author Topic: AZ NYT/Siena: McSally +4 (poll is incomplete)  (Read 2229 times)
pppolitics
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,852


« on: October 17, 2018, 09:37:26 PM »

...back to

Sinema 47

McSally 47

LOL
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pppolitics
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,852


« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2018, 11:45:24 PM »

This poll is pretty much turning out just as I expected so far. Sinema started with unrealistically high numbers in key groups but the poll shifted to about even as whites moved to the Republicans and non-whites moved to the Democrats.

Things usually level out somewhat by this point, so the final results probably won't be too different.  If I had to guess, I would say it ends up around McSally +2.

It started out pretty strange with Sinema up big with age 65+ voters and McSally up big with hispanic voters.
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