TX: CNN/SSRS: Sen. Cruz (R) +7

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Texas continues to be a disappointment to this country.

It is only a disappointment if you had unrealistic expectations. Have sensible expectations and you won't be disappointed so often.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Beto is continuing to post pretty amazing numbers with White voters in these polls. Cruz is only winning whites 66-33. In a year with Presidential-level non-white turnout, Beto would have a very real prospect of winning if he could post those sort of numbers with whites.

Beto, however, is only winning non-whites by 62-32.

There does seem to be a tendency in polls to sometimes overstate Dem support among whites and underestimate it among non-whites.

However, if the polls are correct on the white voters but incorrect on the non-whites, that seems to me like the most likely way it could potentially be a bit closer than it seems.