OR: DHM Research/OPB: Gov. Brown (D) +5, many undecided

[Xing]

Brown isn't going to lose. I know many here on Atlas get a hard-on at the thought of Oregon going Republican, but it's not happening, certainly not in a year like this.

[Xing]

DHM pulling an Emerson with all these undecideds.

Still a Safe D race, of course.

If a Republican was up 5, would you call it a Safe R race?

I realize you're talking to ON Progressive, but here's an example in my case: Some polls showed TN-GOV to be within 5, or even had the Democrat slightly ahead early on. I never moved it past Likely R, and I thought I was still being generous to Dean. The second polls started to shift away from him, I moved it back to Safe R. Had it been a Democratic midterm, I wouldn't have even moved it to Likely R to begin with.