CT PPP: Lamont +5

[Free Bird]

I expect Ned to win now, but keep in mind this was how much Foley was down by on average in 2010 and 2014 and he still only narrowly lost both. Taking into account Oz seemingly being on the upsurge, and I wouldn't be surprised if this is closer than we think.

[Free Bird]

Why is Muhloy so deeply underwater? Even Ned is running away as fast he can from this guy.

He's borked budget after budget year after year and there's the perception that he does nothing but raise taxes and waste money. Remember: CT is Democratic because of social issues. Fiscally, it's rather moderate, a remnant of its GOP past.

[Free Bird]

^lol

Anyway, Safe D, obviously.

Not safe. I'd say Lean, closer to Likely than Tossup. Remember, in governor races, Republicans tend to be underpolled. Again, I'm going in expecting a Lamont win, but it won't be by a margin that would constitute calling it Safe.