ME Change Research: Mills +8 in Head-To-Head vs Moody (user search)
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  ME Change Research: Mills +8 in Head-To-Head vs Moody (search mode)
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Author Topic: ME Change Research: Mills +8 in Head-To-Head vs Moody  (Read 668 times)
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 58,179
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« on: October 13, 2018, 10:18:24 PM »
Do we have a guess who Hayes is taking more votes from?
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,179
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2018, 01:26:32 AM »
Quote from: KingSweden on October 13, 2018, 11:37:24 PM
Quote from: MAINEiac4434 on October 13, 2018, 10:58:33 PM
Quote from: Secret Cavern Survivor on October 13, 2018, 10:18:24 PM
Do we have a guess who Hayes is taking more votes from?
The Hayes internal said partisan split of her support (not including indies) is 57% GOP, 43% Dem.


I have a hard time believing that

I mean it's a ridiculously small subsample so the margin of error is through the roof, but the big takeaway should be that neither candidate will loose more than 3 points or so from Hayes on net. Which is still good news for the leading one (ie Mills).
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