ME Slingshot Strategies (Hayes internal): Mills +8
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Author Topic: ME Slingshot Strategies (Hayes internal): Mills +8  (Read 802 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
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« on: October 13, 2018, 09:20:07 AM »
Mills (D) 41, Moody (R) 33, Hayes (I) 10

https://www.hayesformaine.com/181009
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2018, 09:29:07 AM »
This is the one Maineiac was talking about earlier, right?

In any case, this is good news for Mills. Lean D.
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Person Man
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« Reply #2 on: October 13, 2018, 09:38:30 AM »
Lean/Likely D
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #3 on: October 13, 2018, 09:40:06 AM »
Does this one have IRV or is that only federal races right now?
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #4 on: October 13, 2018, 09:41:50 AM »
Quote from: Vice President dfwlibertylover on October 13, 2018, 09:40:06 AM
Does this one have IRV or is that only federal races right now?

IRV is only for federal races, which is frustrating since the statewide races have had worse spoiler effects than federal races in Maine.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: October 13, 2018, 09:44:40 AM »
Quote from: ON Progressive on October 13, 2018, 09:41:50 AM
Quote from: Vice President dfwlibertylover on October 13, 2018, 09:40:06 AM
Does this one have IRV or is that only federal races right now?

IRV is only for federal races, which is frustrating since the statewide races have had worse spoiler effects than federal races in Maine.

Does anyone know what the process is to amend the state constitution?
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Xing
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« Reply #6 on: October 13, 2018, 10:01:43 AM »
Encouraging, but I’d really like to see a few public polls.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #7 on: October 13, 2018, 10:40:45 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 13, 2018, 09:44:40 AM
Quote from: ON Progressive on October 13, 2018, 09:41:50 AM
Quote from: Vice President dfwlibertylover on October 13, 2018, 09:40:06 AM
Does this one have IRV or is that only federal races right now?

IRV is only for federal races, which is frustrating since the statewide races have had worse spoiler effects than federal races in Maine.

Does anyone know what the process is to amend the state constitution?

Maine legislature must vote by at least a 2/3rd majority to refer an amendment to the ballot. That's the only way, unfortunately. And given that Republicans see RCV as a threat, I don't see how they go for it.
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Canis
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« Reply #8 on: October 13, 2018, 11:02:13 AM »
I wonder how well caron is doing id like to see him included in a couple polls
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #9 on: October 13, 2018, 03:54:11 PM »
What would be the incentives involved in an independent's internal? If Hayes is courting Democrats, maybe "look, Mills has got this, so you might as well vote your conscience". Or if she's courting Republicans, "look, Moody is doomed, your only chance to stop Mills is to rally around Hayes!"
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Horsemask
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« Reply #10 on: October 13, 2018, 04:00:16 PM »
Oh goodness. Don't want to get my hopes up.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #11 on: October 13, 2018, 06:33:28 PM »
I'm honestly happy to just see any Maine poll at all.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #12 on: October 13, 2018, 06:43:12 PM »
Collins vote Kavanaugh net positive for Dems in ME
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #13 on: October 13, 2018, 10:14:00 PM »
Quote from: ON Progressive on October 13, 2018, 09:29:07 AM
This is the one Maineiac was talking about earlier, right?

In any case, this is good news for Mills. Lean D.
This is the one. Didn’t know they’d publish t.

Other tidbits: more Republicans are backing Hayes than Democrats.
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