TX: NYT Upshot / Siena : Cruz +8

[Xing]

Unlike their NV result, this result is definitely plausible, though it's very interesting that O'Rourke is slightly ahead among those "certain" to vote. Maybe he could still come very close if enthusiasm is much higher among Democrats in three weeks, but it's really looking like it's over, and the best he can do is come within a few points.