WI-Marist: Evers +10

[Antonio the Sixth]

Eh, there are quite a few red flags with this polls, as has already been noted. The use of RDD instead of the voter file it particularly problematic. Also note that despite having been released later, this poll is actually older than the Marquette one.

The best guess is that the truth lies somewhere between the two polls, but sadly probably closer to Marquette.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Eh, there are quite a few red flags with this polls, as has already been noted. The use of RDD instead of the voter file it particularly problematic. Also note that despite having been released later, this poll is actually older than the Marquette one.

The best guess is that the truth lies somewhere between the two polls, but sadly probably closer to Marquette.

https://twitter.com/PollsAndVotes/status/1050508075252236288

Also Marist weighs by income in place of education.

https://twitter.com/LeeMiringoff/status/1050557068837412864

https://twitter.com/PollsAndVotes/status/1050559327130583040

Oh, that's interesting. Then it seems they're probably about equal in quality (although the fact that the Marquette poll is more recent remains).

[Antonio the Sixth]

I just hope the next MU poll doesn't show Walker leading even more. Then, that's when I'll be concerned. Fifty Thirty Eight gives MU Law and Marist both A ratings, so I'm not sure which one I should believe as they are equal in reliability.

Throw them in the average. Weight the Marquette one a little more because of better methodology and recency, but not much more.