WI-Marist: Evers +10

[Xing]

Definitely a bit Democratic-friendly (okay, maybe more than a bit), but one thing is consistent: Walker is underperforming the GCB in both polls (the Marquette poll was R+3, he was up 1, this poll is D+6, Evers is up 10), which is terrible news for Walker. I don't see how more Republicans turn out in a year like this. I think I'm ready to call this race Lean D. It's too soon to count Walker out, but he's clearly down in the average, and it says something that a poll showing him up just 1% is considered a very good poll for him.

[Xing]

I just hope the next MU poll doesn't show Walker leading even more. Then, that's when I'll be concerned. Fifty Thirty Eight gives MU Law and Marist both A ratings, so I'm not sure which one I should believe as they are equal in reliability.

I doubt that they'll have Walker doing better, unless the environment shifts in favor of the Republicans again near the end of October. Hopefully, if they find Walker behind again, Democrats won't get complacent.