RI-Della Volpe: Raimondo +8

[Senator Incitatus]

Note Trillo's 17%. Looks like Raimondo's getting off easy.

Does anyone think Trillo will reach that on Election Day? I know RI has an anti-establishment streak (see Healey), but I think Raimondo should be a little worried that at least of his voters will ultimately go to Fung. I wish they'd poll on second choices for all three candidates' supporters.

Also of interest:

• <20% are certain who they will vote for
• Raimondo has a major advantage on public education
• Fung has no clear advantages but is best on fiscal issues

[Senator Incitatus]

Note Trillo's 17%. Looks like Raimondo's getting off easy.

Does anyone think Trillo will reach that on Election Day? I know RI has an anti-establishment streak (see Healey), but I think Raimondo should be a little worried that at least of his voters will ultimately go to Fung. I wish they'd poll on second choices for all three candidates' supporters.

Also of interest:

• <20% are certain who they will vote for
• Raimondo has a major advantage on public education
• Fung has no clear advantages but is best on fiscal issues

Raimondo should be worried. She has a ceiling.

Trillo's a Trump Republican to the right of Fung. Healey was strictly a protest vote. I could see the Trillo voters deserting to Fung.

Don't overestimate how many voters acknowledge a left-right spectrum and place themselves on it. RI especially has a number of Trump-style populist conservatives who are loyal to Democrats.