Isn't this exactly the same as their result in September? Looks like this race is fairly stagnant. This is also the same as Trump's margin in Texas.
Yes, there seems to be movements that cancel each other out. Beto's doing better with women, but worse with men, and even though he wins Independents handily, he doesn't seem to be winning enough Republicans (who are all firmly behind Cruz now).
Interesting.
I still maintain that Beto can win, mostly because of how much uncertainty there is with turnout. Still somewhere around Lean/Likely R though.
I think at the end of the day, that will be the issue with the polling being right or wrong. Beto's run is kind of precedented in TX, I don't think any outlets truly know what turnout will look like.
