TX Quinnipiac: Cruz +9 (user search)
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  TX Quinnipiac: Cruz +9 (search mode)
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Author Topic: TX Quinnipiac: Cruz +9  (Read 6203 times)
RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,249
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

« on: October 11, 2018, 09:28:18 AM »

What a disgrace. They deserve such a horrible senator if they are going to vote for them. When tariffs ravage farmers and immigrant workers are deported, I will have no sympathy for those people. You voted for this cretin. You reap what you sew.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,249
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

« Reply #1 on: October 11, 2018, 10:12:09 AM »

Beto must outperform Hillary. MUST. I don't want TX-7 or TX-32 slipping away
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,249
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

« Reply #2 on: October 11, 2018, 10:24:39 AM »

Is there any precedent for a challenger winning when he's consistently down 7-10 points in polls in October? It's hard to imagine.

Heitkamp in 2012 I believe.

But yeah I think Beto is going to maybe do a little better than Hillary.

Not to be anal, but Heitkamp was only down 6. Tongue

People are really exaggerating how much Heitkamp was down by in 2012. She was tied in the Atlas polling average on Election Day and never trailed in a non-Rasmussen poll within six months of the election by more than 2 points. She also led more polls than she trailed.

True.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,249
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

« Reply #3 on: October 11, 2018, 11:09:38 AM »

I say NEVER GIVE UP. NEVER SURRENDER. He should focus on Tarrant, Williamson, Jefferson, Hays and flip some people. And go to TX-7, 23, 32, 21, 24, 22, 6, and 10 and campaign with candidates there.  We wont win the last 5 districts I listed but if we narrow the margins there, the Republicans may have to spend money on districts they shouldn't have to.
Logged
RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,249
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

« Reply #4 on: October 11, 2018, 03:27:10 PM »

Winning TN is still more likely than winning TX

Nope. Not anymore. IceSpear was right Bredesen is crashing and he's crashing harder then Beto at this point.
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