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  Talk Elections
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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  MO Reuters/Ipsos/UVA: Hawley +1
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Author Topic: MO Reuters/Ipsos/UVA: Hawley +1  (Read 1141 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
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« on: October 10, 2018, 06:07:45 am »

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-statepolls/kavanaugh-vote-changes-few-minds-in-close-missouri-u-s-senate-race-idUSKCN1MK13N

Hawley 45
McCaskill 44

To perhaps no one's surprise, there is not much net movement from the drunken rapist on the Supreme Court.
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JG
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« Reply #1 on: October 10, 2018, 07:33:25 am »

This race will really comes down to turnout. Hopefully, McCaskill has a great ground game.
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10 minutes into Lysol, Tidepod, and chill..
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #2 on: October 10, 2018, 07:45:11 am »

This race will really comes down to turnout. Hopefully, McCaskill has a great ground game.

I hope so. I just don't want Hawley joining guys like Cassidy, Cotton and the like. You know, guys who have names like Barbecue joint people than politicians. Those guys seem like someone you get ribs from, not get  bigger tax refunds from.
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Councilor CookieDamage (L-NJ)
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« Reply #3 on: October 10, 2018, 08:02:32 am »

Toss-up. Wouldn't be surprised if her AND Heitkamp lose while Manchin, Tester, and Donnelly lose. Wouldn't be surprised to see her win either. Hopefully the last week before the election has some surprises in favor of her.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #4 on: October 10, 2018, 08:16:37 am »

Toss-up. Wouldn't be surprised if her AND Heitkamp lose while Manchin, Tester, and Donnelly lose. Wouldn't be surprised to see her win either. Hopefully the last week before the election has some surprises in favor of her.

Yeah I would not be surprised if all of them lost.
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2016
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« Reply #5 on: October 10, 2018, 08:18:25 am »

Kavanaugh
44% say they would more likely to support her because of her Vote
46% say they would less likely to support her because of her Vote

BUT in a Race this close it can make all the Difference in the World.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #6 on: October 10, 2018, 08:31:12 am »

These Reuters Senate polls are very bad.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #7 on: October 10, 2018, 08:32:30 am »

Kavanaugh
44% say they would more likely to support her because of her Vote
46% say they would less likely to support her because of her Vote

BUT in a Race this close it can make all the Difference in the World.

I'm pretty sure this was a lose-lose for her. If she'd voted yes, it would have killed her with a chunk of her base.
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President Biden
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« Reply #8 on: October 10, 2018, 09:11:31 am »

Tossup is a tossup, news at 11.
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Xing
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« Reply #9 on: October 10, 2018, 10:49:44 am »

These Reuters Senate polls are very bad.

Yeah, although this particular result is pretty believable.
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Councilor CookieDamage (L-NJ)
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« Reply #10 on: October 10, 2018, 11:19:07 am »

Toss-up. Wouldn't be surprised if her AND Heitkamp lose while Manchin, Tester, and Donnelly lose. Wouldn't be surprised to see her win either. Hopefully the last week before the election has some surprises in favor of her.

Yeah I would not be surprised if all of them lost.

Oops i meant i wouldnt be surprised if the two lost while Manchin, Donnelly, and Tester won
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #11 on: October 10, 2018, 11:43:22 am »

With leaners, it is 46-46.

McCaskill leads by 50-26 among Independents, so this has to be an absurdely GOP sample ...
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #12 on: October 10, 2018, 12:12:59 pm »

With leaners, it is 46-46.

McCaskill leads by 50-26 among Independents, so this has to be an absurdely GOP sample ...

What are the "real" numbers, then? Smiley
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #13 on: October 10, 2018, 12:38:46 pm »

Toss-up. Wouldn't be surprised if her AND Heitkamp lose while Manchin, Tester, and Donnelly lose. Wouldn't be surprised to see her win either. Hopefully the last week before the election has some surprises in favor of her.

Yeah I would not be surprised if all of them lost.

Oops i meant i wouldnt be surprised if the two lost while Manchin, Donnelly, and Tester won

Dangit thought you agreed with me for once.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #14 on: October 11, 2018, 02:30:28 am »

Kavanaugh
44% say they would more likely to support her because of her Vote
46% say they would less likely to support her because of her Vote

BUT in a Race this close it can make all the Difference in the World.

I'm pretty sure this was a lose-lose for her. If she'd voted yes, it would have killed her with a chunk of her base.

Yeah, same for Donnelly and Tester.
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jimmie
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« Reply #15 on: October 11, 2018, 03:15:23 am »

Jesus.. Hawley can not pull away with this despite McCaskill's approvals and favorables being very poor for an incumbent and the state trending very Republican.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #16 on: October 11, 2018, 03:24:05 am »

Jesus.. Hawley can not pull away with this despite McCaskill's approvals and favorables being very poor for an incumbent and the state trending very Republican.

The most recent quality poll actually has her favorables at 48-48. Hawley's are 47-45.

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/missouri-poll-document-10-3
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #17 on: October 11, 2018, 07:03:50 am »

IPSOS and Vox Populi are suddenly becoming more conservative in their polls
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