MN-NBC/Marist- Smith +16, Klobuchar +30
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Author Topic: MN-NBC/Marist- Smith +16, Klobuchar +30  (Read 1433 times)
ltomlinson31
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« on: October 10, 2018, 04:06:25 PM »

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Xing
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« Reply #1 on: October 10, 2018, 04:08:45 PM »

MN-Special is Safe D. The end.
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Skye
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« Reply #2 on: October 10, 2018, 04:12:57 PM »

Devastating poll for Republicans, especially those downballot.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #3 on: October 10, 2018, 04:14:52 PM »

MiNnESoTa'S SeNaTe SpEcIaL iS a SleEpEr RaCe
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #4 on: October 10, 2018, 04:23:58 PM »

Devastating poll for Republicans, especially those downballot.

Yeah, with those GCB numbers one would have to think the Congressional delegation will be 7D-1R.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #5 on: October 10, 2018, 04:26:32 PM »

I wonder if D+12 is enough to win a 7-1 House delegation. That is almost exactly what Democrats got in 2012, yet only got 5 - 3 and didn't come close to winning MN-02 and MN-03.

OTOH, it might work if Democrats win MN-01 and MN-08 by much smaller numbers while winning comfortably in MN-02/MN-03. Or perhaps maybe they do better than D+12.
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ltomlinson31
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« Reply #6 on: October 10, 2018, 04:35:21 PM »

I wonder if D+12 is enough to win a 7-1 House delegation. That is almost exactly what Democrats got in 2012, yet only got 5 - 3 and didn't come close to winning MN-02 and MN-03.

OTOH, it might work if Democrats win MN-01 and MN-08 by much smaller numbers while winning comfortably in MN-02/MN-03. Or perhaps maybe they do better than D+12.

MN-06 was also very close in 2012 because Michelle Bachmann. That will be much redder this year.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #7 on: October 10, 2018, 04:53:21 PM »

I doubt MN-08 falls to the GOP with these numbers.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #8 on: October 10, 2018, 05:03:08 PM »

MN is a dark blue state, news at 11.
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jacob_101
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« Reply #9 on: October 10, 2018, 05:14:33 PM »

The sample is only 25% Republican, and 35% Democratic. I'd say it should be closer to 30/35. However, that still does not change the result from being safe Democratic.

I think Dems will take House the suburban districts, Republicans will win House 01 (and per the internals, Republicans are doing best there) and no idea what will happen in House 08.
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OneJ
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« Reply #10 on: October 10, 2018, 05:32:26 PM »

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Young Conservative
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« Reply #11 on: October 10, 2018, 05:33:09 PM »

MiNnESoTa'S SeNaTe SpEcIaL iS a SleEpEr RaCe
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Pyro
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« Reply #12 on: October 10, 2018, 05:54:47 PM »

With a name like 'Newberger' he never had a chance.
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Skunk
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« Reply #13 on: October 10, 2018, 07:12:27 PM »

Freedom state!
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KingSweden
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« Reply #14 on: October 10, 2018, 07:27:07 PM »

Devastating poll for Republicans, especially those downballot.

Yeah the state House could be a bloodbath

Too bad the Senate isn’t up
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