They also had Cordray up 6. Brown is no doubt favored, but I really don’t see him winning by that much. Likely D, though.
Yeah, but another poll had Brown up by 17 at the same time they had DeWine up by like 2-3. I have a hard time explaining that, tbh. Remember that in 2006, Brown defeated incumbent DeWine by 12 points.
I'd really love to see what the county map looks like for a Brown win in the high teens. I imagine he racks up huge wins in the Northeast and along Lake Erie and crushes it in the major cities. A lot of those Southeastern counties he won in 2006 could easily be traded for getting 70% in Franklin County and maybe pushing close to 60% in Hamilton.